MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

La Liga 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1
    Rafa Mir
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -147
    DNP
  2. 2ELC
    Germán Valera
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    45%
    Books -110
    -7.3%MatchWiz +122
    ✗ 0
  3. 3
    Álvaro Rodríguez
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +127
    DNP
  4. 4ELC
    Grady Diangana
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +142
    DNP
  5. 5
    André Silva
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +168
    DNP
  6. 6
    Aleix Febas
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +236
    DNP
  7. 7ELC
    Marc Aguado
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books +300
    -1.8%MatchWiz +331
    ✓ 1
  8. 8ELC
    Martim Neto
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books +240
    -9.7%MatchWiz +407
    ✗ 0
  9. 9ELC
    Yago Alonso
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +473
    DNP
  10. 10
    Rodrigo Mendoza
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +477
    DNP
  11. 11
    Héctor Fort
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +539
    DNP
  12. 12ELC
    David Affengruber
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books +650
    -1.4%MatchWiz +740
    ✗ 0
  13. 13ELC
    Pedro Bigas
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books +480
    -6.7%MatchWiz +847
    DNP
  14. 14ELC
    Víctor Chust
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +859
    ✗ 0
  15. 15
    Álvaro Núñez
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    9%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1025
    DNP
  16. 16ELC
    Josan
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1094
    DNP
  17. 17
    Adrià Pedrosa
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1603
    DNP
  18. 18ELC
    Matías Dituro
    ELC1–1DEP
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  19. 19
    Iñaki Peña
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).