MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

La Liga 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ATM
    Julián Álvarez
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books -600
    -29.0%MatchWiz -131
    DNP
  2. 2ATM
    Giuliano Simeone
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books -120
    -0.2%MatchWiz -119
    ✗ 0
  3. 3ATM
    Rodrigo De Paul
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +173
    DNP
  4. 4ATM
    Álex Baena
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +174
    ✓ 1
  5. 5
    Nico González
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +184
    DNP
  6. 6ATM
    Alexander Sørloth
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books -800
    -54.6%MatchWiz +192
    DNP
  7. 7ATM
    Pablo Barrios
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books +130
    -9.6%MatchWiz +195
    ✗ 0
  8. 8
    Nahuel Molina
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +210
    DNP
  9. 9ATM
    Marcos Llorente
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    31%
    Books -115
    -22.8%MatchWiz +226
    ✗ 0
  10. 10ATM
    Antoine Griezmann
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +245
    DNP
  11. 11ATM
    Koke
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books +240
    -4.5%MatchWiz +301
    ✗ 0
  12. 12ATM
    Johnny Cardoso
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books +170
    -12.8%MatchWiz +312
    DNP
  13. 13ATM
    Samuel Lino
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +350
    DNP
  14. 14
    Thiago Almada
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +439
    DNP
  15. 15
    Matteo Ruggeri
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +541
    DNP
  16. 16ATM
    Marc Pubill
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books +210
    -17.5%MatchWiz +577
    DNP
  17. 17ATM
    Dávid Hancko
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books +270
    -12.3%MatchWiz +580
    ✗ 0
  18. 18ATM
    Robin Le Normand
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books +320
    -9.5%MatchWiz +599
    ✗ 0
  19. 19
    Conor Gallagher
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +651
    DNP
  20. 20ATM
    Ángel Correa
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +689
    DNP
  21. 21ATM
    José María Giménez
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books +270
    -16.5%MatchWiz +849
    DNP
  22. 22ATM
    Clément Lenglet
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +877
    DNP
  23. 23ATM
    Thomas Lemar
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +878
    DNP
  24. 24
    Giacomo Raspadori
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +883
    DNP
  25. 25
    Reinildo Mandava
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    10%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +886
    DNP
  26. 26ATM
    Jan Oblak
    ATM2–0MCF
    Wed 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).