La Liga 1+ Shots on Target Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
Hugo DuroTue 3:00 PM41%Books -200-26.1%MatchWiz +146 - 2
Pablo FornalsTue 3:00 PM35%Books +120-10.3%MatchWiz +185 - 3Nelson DeossaTue 3:00 PM30%Books +100-20.3%MatchWiz +237
- 4Luis RiojaTue 3:00 PM29%Books +120-16.4%MatchWiz +244
- 5Marc RocaTue 3:00 PM29%Books +300+3.5%MatchWiz +251
- 6André AlmeidaTue 3:00 PM23%Books +170-14.2%MatchWiz +339
- 7PepeluTue 3:00 PM19%Books +185-16.5%MatchWiz +438
- 8Pablo GarcíaTue 3:00 PM15%Books -140-43.7%MatchWiz +582
- 9Valentín GómezTue 3:00 PM15%Books +490-2.4%MatchWiz +589
- 10Héctor BellerínTue 3:00 PM13%Books +360-8.3%MatchWiz +644
- 11Mouctar DiakhabyTue 3:00 PM12%Books +300-12.6%MatchWiz +709
- 12Marc BartraTue 3:00 PM12%Books +500-4.8%MatchWiz +741
- 13Filip UgrinicTue 3:00 PM12%Books -105-39.3%MatchWiz +741
- 14NatanTue 3:00 PM10%Books +500-6.3%MatchWiz +861
- 15Junior FirpoTue 3:00 PM9%Books +250-19.9%MatchWiz +1048
- 16Diego LlorenteTue 3:00 PM9%Books +350-13.7%MatchWiz +1067
- 17Dimitri FoulquierTue 3:00 PM8%Books +1200+0.1%MatchWiz +1184
- 18Javier GuerraTue 3:00 PM7%Books +130-36.0%MatchWiz +1237
- 19José GayàTue 3:00 PM7%Books +250-22.0%MatchWiz +1427
- 20César TárregaTue 3:00 PM7%Books +410-13.1%MatchWiz +1439
- 21Jesús VázquezTue 3:00 PM3%Books +230-26.9%MatchWiz +2868
- 22Ángel OrtizTue 3:00 PM2%Books +550-12.9%MatchWiz +4003
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).