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La Liga 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Real Madrid
    Kylian Mbappé
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    85%
    Books -1500
    -8.6%MatchWiz -575
    ✓ 7
  2. 2Real Madrid
    Jude Bellingham
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books -210
    -2.5%MatchWiz -187
    ✗ 0
  3. 3Real Madrid
    Vinícius Júnior
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books -500
    -18.5%MatchWiz -185
    ✓ 2
  4. 4Real Sociedad
    Mikel Oyarzabal
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books -145
    -5.6%MatchWiz -115
    ✓ 1
  5. 5Real Madrid
    Rodrygo
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +106
    DNP
  6. 6Real Sociedad
    Takefusa Kubo
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books +140
    +1.3%MatchWiz +133
    ✗ 0
  7. 7Real Sociedad
    Gonçalo Guedes
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books -125
    -14.8%MatchWiz +145
    ✗ 0
  8. 8Real Sociedad
    Brais Méndez
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +174
    DNP
  9. 9Real Sociedad
    Sergio Gómez
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books +220
    +4.6%MatchWiz +179
    ✗ 0
  10. 10Real Madrid
    Arda Güler
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books -185
    -29.4%MatchWiz +182
    ✓ 1
  11. 11Real Madrid
    Federico Valverde
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books -150
    -24.8%MatchWiz +184
    ✓ 1
  12. 12
    Lucas Vázquez
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +186
    DNP
  13. 13
    Luka Modric
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +189
    DNP
  14. 14Real Sociedad
    Carlos Soler
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books +120
    -11.3%MatchWiz +192
    ✗ 0
  15. 15
    Nayef Aguerd
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +238
    DNP
  16. 16Real Madrid
    Aurélien Tchouaméni
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books +140
    -12.2%MatchWiz +239
    DNP
  17. 17Real Madrid
    Endrick
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books -650
    -57.5%MatchWiz +243
    DNP
  18. 18
    Martín Zubimendi
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +246
    DNP
  19. 19
    Franco Mastantuono
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +261
    DNP
  20. 20
    Duje Caleta-Car
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +263
    DNP
  21. 21Real Madrid
    Dani Carvajal
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +278
    DNP
  22. 22
    Dani Ceballos
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +307
    DNP
  23. 23
    Umar Sadiq
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +310
    DNP
  24. 24Real Sociedad
    Orri Óskarsson
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books -160
    -37.2%MatchWiz +312
    ✗ 0
  25. 25Real Sociedad
    Jon Gorrotxategi
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books +600
    +9.1%MatchWiz +328
    DNP
  26. 26
    Hamari Traoré
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +363
    DNP
  27. 27Real Madrid
    Éder Militão
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +381
    DNP
  28. 28Real Sociedad
    Ander Barrenetxea
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books +110
    -27.0%MatchWiz +385
    ✗ 0
  29. 29Real Sociedad
    Jon Aramburu
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +386
    ✗ 0
  30. 30Real Sociedad
    Yangel Herrera
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +431
    ✗ 0
  31. 31Real Madrid
    Dean Huijsen
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    16%
    Books +330
    -7.2%MatchWiz +524
    ✗ 0
  32. 32Real Madrid
    Eduardo Camavinga
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books +180
    -20.9%MatchWiz +573
    ✗ 0
  33. 33
    Fran García
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +659
    DNP
  34. 34Real Sociedad
    Luka Sucic
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books +155
    -26.3%MatchWiz +671
    ✓ 1
  35. 35Real Madrid
    Raúl Asencio
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +679
    DNP
  36. 36Real Madrid
    Antonio Rüdiger
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +714
    DNP
  37. 37Real Madrid
    Álvaro Carreras
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books +270
    -15.6%MatchWiz +777
    ✗ 0
  38. 38Real Madrid
    Trent Alexander-Arnold
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1080
    DNP
  39. 39Real Sociedad
    Jon Martín
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books +600
    -7.0%MatchWiz +1274
    ✗ 0
  40. 40Real Sociedad
    Arsen Zakharyan
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1328
    DNP
  41. 41Real Sociedad
    Beñat Turrientes
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books +220
    -24.4%MatchWiz +1368
    ✓ 1
  42. 42Real Sociedad
    Igor Zubeldia
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books +950
    -2.7%MatchWiz +1370
    ✗ 0
  43. 43Real Sociedad
    Aritz Elustondo
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1405
    DNP
  44. 44
    Javi López
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1844
    DNP
  45. 45Real Madrid
    Andriy Lunin
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4717
    DNP
  46. 46Real Sociedad
    Aihen Muñoz
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books +700
    -10.8%MatchWiz +5672
    DNP
  47. 47Real Madrid
    Thibaut Courtois
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +8386
    ✗ 0
  48. 48Real Sociedad
    Álex Remiro
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).