MatchWiz

La Liga 1+ Shots on Target Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots on target number — the sharper volume signal — hitting the target travels better than raw attempts. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1RMA
    Kylian Mbappé
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    86%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -604
  2. 2RMA
    Vinícius Júnior
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -193
  3. 3RMA
    Jude Bellingham
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -193
  4. 4RSO
    Mikel Oyarzabal
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -117
  5. 5RMA
    Rodrygo
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +101
  6. 6RSO
    Takefusa Kubo
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +130
  7. 7RSO
    Gonçalo Guedes
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +142
  8. 8RSO
    Sergio Gómez
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +175
  9. 9RSO
    Brais Méndez
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +175
  10. 10RMA
    Arda Güler
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +177
  11. 11RMA
    Federico Valverde
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +180
  12. 12
    Lucas Vázquez
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +183
  13. 13
    Luka Modric
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +187
  14. 14RSO
    Carlos Soler
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +192
  15. 15RMA
    Endrick
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +231
  16. 16RMA
    Aurélien Tchouaméni
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +233
  17. 17
    Nayef Aguerd
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +241
  18. 18
    Martín Zubimendi
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +249
  19. 19
    Franco Mastantuono
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +257
  20. 20
    Duje Caleta-Car
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +266
  21. 21RMA
    Dani Carvajal
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +275
  22. 22RMA
    Dani Ceballos
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +304
  23. 23RSO
    Orri Óskarsson
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +306
  24. 24RSO
    Jon Gorrotxategi
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +327
  25. 25
    Hamari Traoré
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +367
  26. 26RMA
    Éder Militão
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +369
  27. 27RSO
    Ander Barrenetxea
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +378
  28. 28
    Umar Sadiq
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +381
  29. 29RSO
    Jon Aramburu
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +385
  30. 30RSO
    Yangel Herrera
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +429
  31. 31RMA
    Dean Huijsen
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +505
  32. 32RMA
    Eduardo Camavinga
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    15%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +558
  33. 33
    Fran García
    v
    Wed 3:00 PM
    14%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +603
  34. 34RMA
    Raúl Asencio
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +651
  35. 35RSO
    Luka Sucic
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +670
  36. 36RMA
    Antonio Rüdiger
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +680
  37. 37RMA
    Álvaro Carreras
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    12%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +746
  38. 38RMA
    Trent Alexander-Arnold
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1080
  39. 39RSO
    Jon Martín
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1245
  40. 40RSO
    Arsen Zakharyan
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1328
  41. 41RSO
    Igor Zubeldia
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1337
  42. 42RSO
    Beñat Turrientes
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1361
  43. 43RSO
    Aritz Elustondo
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1415
  44. 44RSO
    Javi López
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    5%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1796
  45. 45RSO
    Aihen Muñoz
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +5525
  46. 46RMA
    Thibaut Courtois
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  47. 47RSO
    Álex Remiro
    RSOvRMA
    Wed 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  48. 48RMA
    Andriy Lunin
    RMAvRSO
    Wed 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).