MatchWiz

La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1ESP
    Javier Puado
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    93%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1419
    DNP
  2. 2ESP
    Tyrhys Dolan
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    90%
    Books -1500
    -4.0%MatchWiz -877
    DNP
  3. 3ESP
    Roberto Fernández
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    89%
    Books -5000
    -8.8%MatchWiz -833
    DNP
  4. 4VIL
    Nicolas Pépé
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    87%
    Books -1500
    -6.6%MatchWiz -676
    DNP
  5. 5
    Carlos Romero
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    86%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -613
    DNP
  6. 6LEV
    Etta Eyong
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -548
    DNP
  7. 7VIL
    Tajon Buchanan
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -547
    DNP
  8. 8LEV
    Iván Romero
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    81%
    Books -1500
    -12.9%MatchWiz -421
    DNP
  9. 9VIL
    Ayoze Pérez
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    81%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -414
    DNP
  10. 10ESP
    Pere Milla
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    78%
    Books -5000
    -19.7%MatchWiz -361
    DNP
  11. 11VIL
    Alberto Moleiro
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -343
    DNP
  12. 12
    Thomas Partey
    v
    Sun 11:00 AM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -328
    DNP
  13. 13VIL
    Georges Mikautadze
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    73%
    Books -7000
    -25.9%MatchWiz -266
    DNP
  14. 14VIL
    Santi Comesaña
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    72%
    Books -390
    -7.5%MatchWiz -259
    DNP
  15. 15ESP
    Edu Expósito
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -243
    DNP
  16. 16
    Alfonso Pedraza
    v
    Sun 11:00 AM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -243
    DNP
  17. 17ESP
    Urko Gonzalez
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    71%
    Books -195
    +4.7%MatchWiz -243
    DNP
  18. 18
    Rafa Marín
    v
    Sun 11:00 AM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -232
    DNP
  19. 19
    Thierno Barry
    v
    Sun 11:00 AM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -221
    DNP
  20. 20VIL
    Pape Gueye
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    67%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -204
    DNP
  21. 21
    Yéremy Pino
    v
    Sun 11:00 AM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -175
    DNP
  22. 22
    Matías Moreno
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -171
    DNP
  23. 23
    Pablo Martínez
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -167
    DNP
  24. 24LEV
    Carlos Álvarez
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    62%
    Books -475
    -20.5%MatchWiz -164
    DNP
  25. 25LEV
    Kervin Arriaga
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    59%
    Books -320
    -17.3%MatchWiz -143
    DNP
  26. 26ESP
    Leandro Cabrera
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    57%
    Books -350
    -20.9%MatchWiz -132
    DNP
  27. 27ESP
    Alex Král
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -124
    DNP
  28. 28
    Unai Vencedor
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -108
    DNP
  29. 29ESP
    Pol Lozano
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    51%
    Books -195
    -14.7%MatchWiz -106
    DNP
  30. 30LEV
    Roger Brugué
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +104
    DNP
  31. 31VIL
    Sergi Cardona
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +109
    DNP
  32. 32VIL
    Renato Veiga
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    48%
    Books +105
    -1.3%MatchWiz +110
    DNP
  33. 33
    Marash Kumbulla
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +114
    DNP
  34. 34
    Fernando Calero
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +116
    DNP
  35. 35ESP
    Enrique García
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +120
    DNP
  36. 36VIL
    Willy Kambwala
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    44%
    Books +105
    -4.9%MatchWiz +128
    DNP
  37. 37VIL
    Logan Costa
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    43%
    Books +120
    -2.5%MatchWiz +133
    DNP
  38. 38VIL
    Juan Foyth
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    42%
    Books -170
    -20.7%MatchWiz +137
    DNP
  39. 39VIL
    Santiago Mouriño
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    42%
    Books -165
    -20.1%MatchWiz +137
    DNP
  40. 40VIL
    Pau Navarro
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +149
    DNP
  41. 41ESP
    Jofre Carreras
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    39%
    Books -4000
    -58.9%MatchWiz +159
    DNP
  42. 42LEV
    Adrián de la Fuente
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    38%
    Books -400
    -41.5%MatchWiz +160
    DNP
  43. 43ESP
    Omar El Hilali
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    34%
    Books +135
    -8.6%MatchWiz +194
    DNP
  44. 44
    Ramón Terrats
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +199
    DNP
  45. 45LEV
    Jeremy Toljan
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    33%
    Books +135
    -9.7%MatchWiz +205
    DNP
  46. 46LEV
    Manu Sánchez
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    33%
    Books +140
    -9.1%MatchWiz +207
    DNP
  47. 47
    Luca Koleosho
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +209
    DNP
  48. 48VIL
    Manor Solomon
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +239
    DNP
  49. 49LEV
    Jorge Cabello
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    29%
    Books +100
    -21.2%MatchWiz +247
    DNP
  50. 50VIL
    Dani Parejo
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +261
    DNP
  51. 51
    Carlos Espí
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +265
    DNP
  52. 52ESP
    Charles Pickel
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +276
    DNP
  53. 53ESP
    Clemens Riedel
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    26%
    Books -210
    -42.1%MatchWiz +291
    DNP
  54. 54
    Goduine Koyalipou
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +390
    DNP
  55. 55LEV
    Jon Ander Olasagasti
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    19%
    Books -425
    -61.5%MatchWiz +414
    DNP
  56. 56LEV
    Orio Rey
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    18%
    Books -195
    -48.4%MatchWiz +465
    DNP
  57. 57
    Alan Matturro
    v
    Sun 1:00 PM
    18%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +471
    DNP
  58. 58VIL
    Gerard Moreno
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    17%
    Books -2500
    -79.6%MatchWiz +503
    DNP
  59. 59LEV
    Víctor García
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    16%
    Books -550
    -68.6%MatchWiz +524
    DNP
  60. 60LEV
    Unai Elgezabel
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    16%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +536
    DNP
  61. 61VIL
    Arnau Tenas
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +4263
    DNP
  62. 62VIL
    Luiz Júnior
    VIL2–2RAC
    Sun 11:00 AM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +5551
    DNP
  63. 63ESP
    Marko Dmitrovic
    ESP3–0LEV
    Sun 1:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +5654
    DNP
  64. 64LEV
    Mathew Ryan
    LEV0–3ESP
    Sun 1:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +7346
    DNP

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).