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La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Elche
    Rafa Mir
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    88%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -712
    DNP
  2. 2
    Álvaro Rodríguez
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    81%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -418
    DNP
  3. 3Elche
    Germán Valera
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    78%
    Books -700
    -9.4%MatchWiz -357
    ✗ 0
  4. 4Elche
    Grady Diangana
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    77%
    Books -450
    -5.1%MatchWiz -330
    DNP
  5. 5
    André Silva
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -277
    DNP
  6. 6
    Aleix Febas
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -161
    DNP
  7. 7Elche
    Marc Aguado
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books -210
    -10.7%MatchWiz -133
    ✓ 1
  8. 8Elche
    Martim Neto
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    50%
    Books -280
    -23.6%MatchWiz -100
    ✗ 0
  9. 9
    Rodrigo Mendoza
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    47%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +113
    DNP
  10. 10
    Héctor Fort
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +145
    DNP
  11. 11Elche
    Víctor Chust
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books +155
    +0.8%MatchWiz +150
    ✗ 0
  12. 12Elche
    Yago Alonso
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +159
    DNP
  13. 13Elche
    David Affengruber
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books +145
    -4.7%MatchWiz +177
    ✓ 2
  14. 14Elche
    Pedro Bigas
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books +100
    -14.9%MatchWiz +185
    DNP
  15. 15
    Álvaro Núñez
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +211
    DNP
  16. 16
    Adrià Pedrosa
    —v—
    Mon 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +312
    DNP
  17. 17Elche
    Josan
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +343
    DNP
  18. 18Elche
    Matías Dituro
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  19. 19Elche
    Iñaki Peña
    Elche1–1Deportivo
    Mon 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).