La Liga 1+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
AntonyFri 3:00 PM✓ 595%Books no lineMatchWiz -1837 - 2
Cucho HernándezFri 3:00 PM✓ 294%Books no lineMatchWiz -1626 - 3
Abde EzzalzouliFri 3:00 PMDNP94%Books -4000-3.7%MatchWiz -1534 - 4
Aitor RuibalFri 3:00 PMDNP91%Books no lineMatchWiz -1021 - 5
Mikel OyarzabalFri 3:00 PM✗ 091%Books -1100-0.9%MatchWiz -983 - 6
Takefusa KuboFri 3:00 PM✓ 184%Books -475+1.2%MatchWiz -516 - 7
Gonçalo GuedesFri 3:00 PMDNP80%Books -1100-11.4%MatchWiz -406 - 8
Pablo FornalsFri 3:00 PM✓ 279%Books -550-5.5%MatchWiz -379 - 9
Sergio GómezFri 3:00 PM✓ 179%Books +105+30.2%MatchWiz -375 - 10Romain PerraudFri 3:00 PMDNP78%Books no lineMatchWiz -355
- 11Umar SadiqFri 3:00 PMDNP74%Books no lineMatchWiz -279
- 12
Brais MéndezFri 3:00 PMDNP73%Books no lineMatchWiz -276 - 13
Marc RocaFri 3:00 PM✓ 272%Books -240+1.3%MatchWiz -255 - 14Martín ZubimendiFri 3:00 PMDNP71%Books no lineMatchWiz -246
- 15Nayef AguerdFri 3:00 PMDNP71%Books no lineMatchWiz -242
- 16Duje Caleta-CarFri 3:00 PMDNP69%Books no lineMatchWiz -225
- 17
Carlos SolerFri 3:00 PM✗ 067%Books -475-15.5%MatchWiz -204 - 18Jesús RodriguezFri 3:00 PMDNP64%Books no lineMatchWiz -181
- 19
Jon GorrotxategiFri 3:00 PMDNP63%Books +105+14.1%MatchWiz -169 - 20
Nelson DeossaFri 3:00 PM✓ 159%Books -1100-32.9%MatchWiz -143 - 21Hamari TraoréFri 3:00 PMDNP57%Books no lineMatchWiz -132
- 22
Orri ÓskarssonFri 3:00 PM✓ 356%Books -1250-36.8%MatchWiz -126 - 23
IscoFri 3:00 PM✓ 255%Books no lineMatchWiz -120 - 24
Ander BarrenetxeaFri 3:00 PM✓ 154%Books -650-32.8%MatchWiz -117 - 25
Sofyan AmrabatFri 3:00 PMDNP53%Books no lineMatchWiz -112 - 26
Beñat TurrientesFri 3:00 PM✗ 050%Books -300-25.1%MatchWiz +100 - 27
Valentín GómezFri 3:00 PMDNP46%Books -110-5.9%MatchWiz +115 - 28
NatanFri 3:00 PM✗ 045%Books +140+3.8%MatchWiz +120 - 29
Giovani Lo CelsoFri 3:00 PMDNP45%Books -1100-46.5%MatchWiz +121 - 30
Jon MartínFri 3:00 PM✗ 044%Books -150-16.3%MatchWiz +129 - 31
Marc BartraFri 3:00 PM✓ 142%Books -175-21.1%MatchWiz +135 - 32
Héctor BellerínFri 3:00 PM✗ 042%Books -105-8.9%MatchWiz +136 - 33
Junior FirpoFri 3:00 PMDNP40%Books -300-35.5%MatchWiz +153 - 34
Jon AramburuFri 3:00 PM✓ 139%Books no lineMatchWiz +155 - 35
Pablo GarcíaFri 3:00 PM✓ 137%Books -2500-58.8%MatchWiz +168 - 36
Luka SucicFri 3:00 PM✓ 234%Books -650-52.5%MatchWiz +193 - 37
Youssouf SabalyFri 3:00 PMDNP34%Books no lineMatchWiz +196 - 38
Igor ZubeldiaFri 3:00 PM✗ 034%Books +170-3.3%MatchWiz +197 - 39
Sergi AltimiraFri 3:00 PMDNP31%Books no lineMatchWiz +222 - 40
Vitor RoqueFri 3:00 PMDNP29%Books no lineMatchWiz +240 - 41
William CarvalhoFri 3:00 PMDNP28%Books no lineMatchWiz +263 - 42
Diego LlorenteFri 3:00 PMDNP27%Books -140-30.9%MatchWiz +264 - 43
Ricardo RodríguezFri 3:00 PMDNP27%Books no lineMatchWiz +269 - 44
Arsen ZakharyanFri 3:00 PM✗ 024%Books -600-61.6%MatchWiz +314 - 45
Javi LópezFri 3:00 PMDNP22%Books no lineMatchWiz +363 - 46
Aritz ElustondoFri 3:00 PMDNP21%Books no lineMatchWiz +369 - 47
Ángel OrtizFri 3:00 PMDNP11%Books -115-42.6%MatchWiz +819 - 48
Aihen MuñozFri 3:00 PM✗ 011%Books +115-35.9%MatchWiz +846 - 49
AdriánFri 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 50
Pau LópezFri 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 51
Álex RemiroFri 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 52
Álvaro VallesFri 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).