MatchWiz

La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Alavés
    Lucas Boyé
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    89%
    Books -2000
    -6.0%MatchWiz -831
    ✓ 2
  2. 2Alavés
    Toni Martínez
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -369
    ✓ 4
  3. 3Alavés
    Abde Rebbach
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    77%
    Books -900
    -13.1%MatchWiz -334
    ✓ 1
  4. 4Alavés
    Antonio Blanco
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    70%
    Books -230
    +0.6%MatchWiz -237
    ✗ 0
  5. 5Alavés
    Victor Parada
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -234
    DNP
  6. 6Rayo Vallecano
    Fran Pérez
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    70%
    Books -1500
    -23.9%MatchWiz -232
    ✗ 0
  7. 7Rayo Vallecano
    Jorge de Frutos
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    70%
    Books -2500
    -26.4%MatchWiz -230
    ✗ 0
  8. 8Rayo Vallecano
    Álvaro García
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    69%
    Books -1100
    -22.8%MatchWiz -222
    ✓ 1
  9. 9
    Moussa Diarra
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -198
    DNP
  10. 10Rayo Vallecano
    Isi Palazón
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books -2000
    -30.7%MatchWiz -182
    ✓ 1
  11. 11Alavés
    Pablo Ibáñez
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    63%
    Books -800
    -26.4%MatchWiz -167
    ✓ 3
  12. 12
    Nobel Mendy
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -158
    DNP
  13. 13Alavés
    Denis Suárez
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -150
    ✗ 0
  14. 14
    Pep Chavarría
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -131
    DNP
  15. 15Rayo Vallecano
    Unai López
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books -550
    -30.1%MatchWiz -120
    ✓ 1
  16. 16Alavés
    Nahuel Tenaglia
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books -155
    -6.5%MatchWiz -119
    ✓ 1
  17. 17Rayo Vallecano
    Pathé Ciss
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books -250
    -17.2%MatchWiz -119
    ✗ 0
  18. 18Rayo Vallecano
    Florian Lejeune
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books -650
    -32.5%MatchWiz -118
    ✗ 0
  19. 19
    Pau Cabanes
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -103
    DNP
  20. 20Rayo Vallecano
    Andrei Ratiu
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books -250
    -22.9%MatchWiz +106
    ✓ 1
  21. 21Rayo Vallecano
    Óscar Valentín
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books -160
    -13.1%MatchWiz +107
    ✗ 0
  22. 22Alavés
    Mariano Díaz
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books -1500
    -50.7%MatchWiz +132
    ✓ 2
  23. 23Alavés
    Facundo Garcés
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +143
    DNP
  24. 24Rayo Vallecano
    Carlos Martín
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +151
    DNP
  25. 25Rayo Vallecano
    Sergio Camello
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books -3000
    -57.8%MatchWiz +157
    ✓ 3
  26. 26Rayo Vallecano
    Alexandre Alemão
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books -2000
    -60.1%MatchWiz +184
    DNP
  27. 27
    Jon Pacheco
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +189
    DNP
  28. 28Rayo Vallecano
    Pedro Díaz
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +196
    DNP
  29. 29
    Asier Villalibre
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +200
    DNP
  30. 30Alavés
    Calebe
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +209
    DNP
  31. 31Alavés
    Jonny
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +211
    ✗ 0
  32. 32Rayo Vallecano
    Jozhua Vertrouwd
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books -170
    -30.9%MatchWiz +212
    ✗ 0
  33. 33Rayo Vallecano
    Aridane Hernández
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +238
    DNP
  34. 34Alavés
    Carlos Vicente
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +240
    DNP
  35. 35Alavés
    Tomás Conechny
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +253
    DNP
  36. 36Rayo Vallecano
    Abdul Mumin
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +262
    DNP
  37. 37Alavés
    Carles Aleñá
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books -500
    -55.9%MatchWiz +264
    ✗ 0
  38. 38Rayo Vallecano
    Luiz Felipe
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +300
    DNP
  39. 39Rayo Vallecano
    Adri Embarba
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +312
    DNP
  40. 40Rayo Vallecano
    Pacha Espino
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +313
    DNP
  41. 41Alavés
    Carlos Protesoni
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books -240
    -48.1%MatchWiz +346
    DNP
  42. 42Alavés
    Ander Guevara
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +346
    DNP
  43. 43Alavés
    Youssef Lekhedim
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +811
    ✗ 0
  44. 44Rayo Vallecano
    Iván Balliu
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books -130
    -48.3%MatchWiz +1114
    DNP
  45. 45Rayo Vallecano
    Augusto Batalla
    Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés
    Thu 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  46. 46Alavés
    Antonio Sivera
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  47. 47Alavés
    Jesús Owono
    Alavés1–1Rayo Vallecano
    Thu 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).