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La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Villarreal
    Georges Mikautadze
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    95%
    Books -2500
    -1.0%MatchWiz -1960
    ✓ 1
  2. 2Alavés
    Toni Martínez
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    92%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1128
    ✗ 0
  3. 3Alavés
    Lucas Boyé
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    90%
    Books -3000
    -6.8%MatchWiz -901
    ✓ 3
  4. 4Villarreal
    Nicolas Pépé
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    89%
    Books -1250
    -3.5%MatchWiz -817
    ✓ 3
  5. 5Villarreal
    Tajon Buchanan
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    89%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -813
    ✓ 1
  6. 6Elche
    Rafa Mir
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    88%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -731
    DNP
  7. 7Villarreal
    Ayoze Pérez
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    84%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -542
    ✓ 3
  8. 8Villarreal
    Gerard Moreno
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    83%
    Books -2000
    -12.6%MatchWiz -475
    ✓ 3
  9. 9Elche
    Ali Houary
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    80%
    Books -700
    -7.3%MatchWiz -404
    ✓ 1
  10. 10Alavés
    Abde Rebbach
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    80%
    Books -500
    -3.8%MatchWiz -388
    ✗ 0
  11. 11
    Álvaro Rodríguez
    —v—
    Fri 1:00 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -370
    DNP
  12. 12Villarreal
    Thomas Partey
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -330
    DNP
  13. 13Elche
    Grady Diangana
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    76%
    Books -550
    -8.6%MatchWiz -316
    DNP
  14. 14Elche
    Germán Valera
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    74%
    Books -500
    -9.0%MatchWiz -289
    ✗ 0
  15. 15Alavés
    Pablo Ibáñez
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    74%
    Books -600
    -11.9%MatchWiz -281
    ✓ 2
  16. 16
    Thierno Barry
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -259
    DNP
  17. 17
    Alfonso Pedraza
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -244
    DNP
  18. 18
    André Silva
    —v—
    Fri 1:00 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -243
    DNP
  19. 19Alavés
    Victor Parada
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -242
    DNP
  20. 20Villarreal
    Pape Gueye
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -240
    ✗ 0
  21. 21
    Rafa Marín
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -235
    DNP
  22. 22Villarreal
    Santi Comesaña
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    69%
    Books -340
    -8.1%MatchWiz -224
    ✗ 0
  23. 23Villarreal
    Alberto Moleiro
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -208
    ✗ 0
  24. 24Alavés
    Antonio Blanco
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    67%
    Books -290
    -7.7%MatchWiz -200
    ✓ 1
  25. 25
    Moussa Diarra
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -194
    DNP
  26. 26
    Yéremy Pino
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -170
    DNP
  27. 27
    Aleix Febas
    —v—
    Fri 1:00 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -164
    DNP
  28. 28Alavés
    Denis Suárez
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -144
    ✗ 0
  29. 29
    Rodrigo Mendoza
    —v—
    Fri 1:00 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -137
    DNP
  30. 30Alavés
    Nahuel Tenaglia
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    55%
    Books -180
    -9.6%MatchWiz -121
    ✗ 0
  31. 31Elche
    Marc Aguado
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    53%
    Books -250
    -18.8%MatchWiz -111
    ✗ 0
  32. 32Elche
    Martim Neto
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    52%
    Books -340
    -25.5%MatchWiz -107
    DNP
  33. 33Villarreal
    Pau Cabanes
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -105
    DNP
  34. 34Villarreal
    Sergi Cardona
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +108
    DNP
  35. 35Elche
    David Affengruber
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    48%
    Books +125
    +3.3%MatchWiz +110
    ✓ 2
  36. 36Alavés
    Mariano Díaz
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    46%
    Books -2000
    -49.2%MatchWiz +117
    ✗ 0
  37. 37Villarreal
    Santiago Mouriño
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    44%
    Books -155
    -16.4%MatchWiz +125
    ✓ 1
  38. 38Villarreal
    Logan Costa
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    43%
    Books +130
    -0.1%MatchWiz +130
    DNP
  39. 39Villarreal
    Pau Navarro
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +143
    DNP
  40. 40Alavés
    Facundo Garcés
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +146
    DNP
  41. 41Villarreal
    Renato Veiga
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    41%
    Books +115
    -5.9%MatchWiz +146
    ✓ 2
  42. 42
    Carlos Martín
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +149
    DNP
  43. 43
    Héctor Fort
    —v—
    Fri 1:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +157
    DNP
  44. 44Villarreal
    Carlos Macià
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +157
    DNP
  45. 45Villarreal
    Juan Foyth
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    38%
    Books -160
    -23.4%MatchWiz +162
    ✓ 4
  46. 46Elche
    Yago Alonso
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +163
    DNP
  47. 47
    Jon Pacheco
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +191
    DNP
  48. 48
    Willy Kambwala
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +197
    DNP
  49. 49Elche
    Pedro Bigas
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    33%
    Books -120
    -21.8%MatchWiz +205
    ✗ 0
  50. 50Alavés
    Calebe
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +206
    DNP
  51. 51
    Manor Solomon
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +211
    DNP
  52. 52Elche
    Víctor Chust
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    31%
    Books +130
    -12.7%MatchWiz +225
    ✓ 1
  53. 53
    Álvaro Núñez
    —v—
    Fri 1:00 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +225
    DNP
  54. 54
    Asier Villalibre
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +225
    DNP
  55. 55Alavés
    Jonny
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +231
    ✓ 1
  56. 56Alavés
    Carlos Vicente
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +237
    DNP
  57. 57Villarreal
    Dani Parejo
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +240
    DNP
  58. 58Alavés
    Tomás Conechny
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +250
    DNP
  59. 59
    Adrià Altimira
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +264
    DNP
  60. 60Alavés
    Carles Aleñá
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +280
    DNP
  61. 61
    Jon Guridi
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +301
    DNP
  62. 62
    Adrià Pedrosa
    —v—
    Fri 1:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +321
    DNP
  63. 63Alavés
    Carlos Protesoni
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    23%
    Books -300
    -52.5%MatchWiz +344
    ✗ 0
  64. 64Elche
    Josan
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +350
    ✗ 0
  65. 65Alavés
    Youssef Lekhedim
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    11%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +852
    ✗ 0
  66. 66Elche
    Matías Dituro
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  67. 67Elche
    Iñaki Peña
    Elche2–3Racing Santander
    Fri 1:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  68. 68Alavés
    Antonio Sivera
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0
  69. 69
    Diego Conde
    —v—
    Fri 3:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  70. 70Alavés
    Jesús Owono
    Alavés1–0Villarreal
    Fri 3:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  71. 71Villarreal
    Arnau Tenas
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    DNP
  72. 72Villarreal
    Luiz Júnior
    Villarreal0–1Alavés
    Fri 3:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).