MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1BAR
    Lamine Yamal
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    99%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -9900
  2. 2BAR
    Raphinha
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    98%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -5753
  3. 3BAR
    Robert Lewandowski
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    95%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -2042
  4. 4BAR
    Dani Olmo
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    92%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1087
  5. 5
    Ferran Torres
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -680
  6. 6OSA
    Ante Budimir
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -640
  7. 7BAR
    Fermín López
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    85%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -566
  8. 8
    Marcus Rashford
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    80%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -406
  9. 9ATH
    Álex Berenguer
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -381
  10. 10BAR
    Frenkie de Jong
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    78%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -365
  11. 11ATH
    Nico Williams
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    78%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -359
  12. 12CEL
    Borja Iglesias
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    77%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -335
  13. 13ATH
    Gorka Guruzeta
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    76%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -323
  14. 14CEL
    Iago Aspas
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -304
  15. 15ATH
    Oihan Sancet
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    75%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -301
  16. 16OSA
    Moi Gómez
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -273
  17. 17
    Bryan Zaragoza
    —v—
    Thu 2:30 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -233
  18. 18ATH
    Iñaki Williams
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -222
  19. 19
    Víctor Muñoz
    —v—
    Thu 2:30 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -211
  20. 20CEL
    Carlos Domínguez
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    67%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -207
  21. 21BAR
    Gavi
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    67%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -205
  22. 22BAR
    Pedri
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -192
  23. 23ATH
    Álvaro Djaló
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -190
  24. 24CEL
    Fernando López
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -178
  25. 25CEL
    Pablo Durán
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -168
  26. 26ATH
    Mikel Jauregizar
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -161
  27. 27
    Ronald Araújo
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -149
  28. 28ATH
    Peio Canales
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    59%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -144
  29. 29BAR
    Eric García
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -140
  30. 30CEL
    Miguel Román
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -139
  31. 31CEL
    Damián Rodríguez
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -139
  32. 32BAR
    Alejandro Balde
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -138
  33. 33CEL
    Ferran Jutglà
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    57%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -133
  34. 34OSA
    Lucas Torró
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -126
  35. 35OSA
    Jon Moncayola
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -117
  36. 36BAR
    Jules Koundé
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -114
  37. 37
    Óscar Mingueza
    —v—
    Thu 2:30 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -113
  38. 38BAR
    Pau Cubarsí
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -113
  39. 39OSA
    Rubén García
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -112
  40. 40OSA
    Aimar Oroz
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    51%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -103
  41. 41CEL
    Mihailo Ristic
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -101
  42. 42CEL
    Marcos Alonso
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +101
  43. 43BAR
    Gerard Martín
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +106
  44. 44ATH
    Beñat Prados
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +109
  45. 45CEL
    Fran Beltrán
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +116
  46. 46BAR
    Iñigo Martínez
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +118
  47. 47ATH
    Yeray
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +122
  48. 48
    Dro Fernández
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +126
  49. 49ATH
    Maroan Sannadi
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    44%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +128
  50. 50CEL
    Franco Cervi
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +131
  51. 51BAR
    Marc Bernal
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +133
  52. 52OSA
    Raúl García
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +139
  53. 53CEL
    Williot Swedberg
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +139
  54. 54ATH
    Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +142
  55. 55CEL
    Sergio Carreira
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +149
  56. 56ATH
    Aitor Paredes
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +158
  57. 57CEL
    Javi Rodríguez
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +160
  58. 58OSA
    Alejandro Catena
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    37%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +169
  59. 59OSA
    Abel Bretones
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +176
  60. 60
    Hugo Sotelo
    —v—
    Thu 2:30 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +187
  61. 61CEL
    Jones El-Abdellaoui
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    35%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +190
  62. 62ATH
    Dani Vivian
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +196
  63. 63OSA
    Iker Muñoz
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +201
  64. 64ATH
    Aymeric Laporte
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +211
  65. 65ATH
    Yuri Berchiche
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +214
  66. 66ATH
    Robert Navarro
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +221
  67. 67CEL
    Carl Starfelt
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +226
  68. 68OSA
    Iker Benito
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +229
  69. 69ATH
    Alejandro Rego
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +231
  70. 70BAR
    Marc Casadó
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +235
  71. 71
    Unai Gómez
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    30%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +238
  72. 72CEL
    Hugo Álvarez
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +239
  73. 73OSA
    Enrique Barja
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +239
  74. 74CEL
    Yoel Lago
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +256
  75. 75ATH
    Andoni Gorosabel
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +267
  76. 76ATH
    Iñigo Lekue
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +277
  77. 77OSA
    Enzo Boyomo
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +278
  78. 78CEL
    Javi Rueda
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +290
  79. 79OSA
    Valentin Rosier
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +291
  80. 80
    Unai Núñez
    —v—
    Thu 3:00 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +291
  81. 81CEL
    Ilaix Moriba
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +292
  82. 82OSA
    Iñigo Arguibide
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +293
  83. 83CEL
    Manuel Fernández
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +314
  84. 84ATH
    Adama Boiro
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    24%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +317
  85. 85ATH
    Jesús Areso
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +347
  86. 86
    Anastasios Douvikas
    —v—
    Thu 2:30 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +350
  87. 87ATH
    Mikel Vesga
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +368
  88. 88ATH
    Óscar de Marcos
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +440
  89. 89
    Sheraldo Becker
    —v—
    Thu 2:30 PM
    17%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +484
  90. 90OSA
    Jorge Herrando
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    7%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1361
  91. 91OSA
    Juan Cruz
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    6%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +1641
  92. 92CEL
    Andrei Radu
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  93. 93OSA
    Sergio Herrera
    OSAvCEL
    Thu 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  94. 94CEL
    Vicente Guaita
    CELvOSA
    Thu 2:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  95. 95BAR
    Wojciech Szczesny
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  96. 96ATH
    Unai Simón
    ATHvBAR
    Thu 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  97. 97BAR
    Joan García
    BARvATH
    Thu 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).