La Liga 1+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
Mikel OyarzabalThu 3:00 PM✓ 292%Books -3000-4.5%MatchWiz -1198 - 2
Gonçalo GuedesThu 3:00 PM✓ 288%Books -2500-7.8%MatchWiz -755 - 3Bryan ZaragozaThu 3:00 PMDNP85%Books no lineMatchWiz -566
- 4
Takefusa KuboThu 3:00 PM✓ 180%Books -800-8.5%MatchWiz -411 - 5
Borja IglesiasThu 3:00 PMDNP80%Books no lineMatchWiz -403 - 6
Sergio GómezThu 3:00 PM✗ 079%Books -175+15.5%MatchWiz -379 - 7
Brais MéndezThu 3:00 PMDNP77%Books no lineMatchWiz -328 - 8Umar SadiqThu 3:00 PMDNP75%Books no lineMatchWiz -296
- 9
Luka SucicThu 3:00 PM✓ 273%Books -1500-20.8%MatchWiz -269 - 10
Carlos DomínguezThu 3:00 PMDNP72%Books no lineMatchWiz -258 - 11Martín ZubimendiThu 3:00 PMDNP71%Books no lineMatchWiz -249
- 12Nayef AguerdThu 3:00 PMDNP71%Books no lineMatchWiz -245
- 13Duje Caleta-CarThu 3:00 PMDNP70%Books no lineMatchWiz -229
- 14Fernando LópezThu 3:00 PMDNP68%Books no lineMatchWiz -216
- 15
Carlos SolerThu 3:00 PM✗ 067%Books -600-18.9%MatchWiz -201 - 16
Jon GorrotxategiThu 3:00 PM✗ 066%Books -140+7.3%MatchWiz -191 - 17
Orri ÓskarssonThu 3:00 PM✓ 163%Books -4000-34.9%MatchWiz -168 - 18
Damián RodríguezThu 3:00 PMDNP62%Books no lineMatchWiz -167 - 19
Iago AspasThu 3:00 PM✓ 262%Books -2000-33.1%MatchWiz -164 - 20
Pablo DuránThu 3:00 PM✗ 062%Books -1500-32.1%MatchWiz -161 - 21
Ferran JutglàThu 3:00 PM✗ 058%Books -1500-35.9%MatchWiz -137 - 22Hamari TraoréThu 3:00 PMDNP57%Books no lineMatchWiz -133
- 23
Williot SwedbergThu 3:00 PM✗ 056%Books -750-32.1%MatchWiz -128 - 24
Ander BarrenetxeaThu 3:00 PM✓ 156%Books -1250-36.5%MatchWiz -128 - 25
Miguel RománThu 3:00 PM✗ 055%Books -155-5.9%MatchWiz -122 - 26Óscar MinguezaThu 3:00 PMDNP54%Books no lineMatchWiz -117
- 27
Mihailo RisticThu 3:00 PMDNP53%Books no lineMatchWiz -112 - 28
Sergio CarreiraThu 3:00 PM✗ 048%Books -185-16.6%MatchWiz +107 - 29Fran BeltránThu 3:00 PMDNP48%Books no lineMatchWiz +109
- 30
Marcos AlonsoThu 3:00 PM✗ 048%Books -230-22.1%MatchWiz +110 - 31
Yangel HerreraThu 3:00 PM✓ 147%Books no lineMatchWiz +114 - 32
Franco CerviThu 3:00 PMDNP46%Books no lineMatchWiz +119 - 33Javi LópezThu 3:00 PMDNP45%Books no lineMatchWiz +121
- 34
Jones El-AbdellaouiThu 3:00 PMDNP45%Books -750-43.2%MatchWiz +122 - 35
Jon AramburuThu 3:00 PM✓ 144%Books no lineMatchWiz +125 - 36
Carl StarfeltThu 3:00 PMDNP42%Books +140+0.5%MatchWiz +137 - 37
Jon MartínThu 3:00 PM✓ 141%Books -135-16.5%MatchWiz +144 - 38
Javi RodríguezThu 3:00 PM✗ 035%Books no lineMatchWiz +182 - 39
Ilaix MoribaThu 3:00 PM✓ 233%Books no lineMatchWiz +199 - 40
Igor ZubeldiaThu 3:00 PM✗ 028%Books +120-17.0%MatchWiz +252 - 41
Hugo ÁlvarezThu 3:00 PMDNP27%Books -475-55.7%MatchWiz +271 - 42
Manuel FernándezThu 3:00 PMDNP26%Books no lineMatchWiz +286 - 43
Yoel LagoThu 3:00 PM✗ 026%Books +125-18.6%MatchWiz +287 - 44Hugo SoteloThu 3:00 PMDNP25%Books no lineMatchWiz +307
- 45
Beñat TurrientesThu 3:00 PM✓ 224%Books -500-59.5%MatchWiz +319 - 46
Javi RuedaThu 3:00 PM✓ 123%Books -155-37.8%MatchWiz +335 - 47Anastasios DouvikasThu 3:00 PMDNP22%Books no lineMatchWiz +346
- 48
Aritz ElustondoThu 3:00 PMDNP22%Books no lineMatchWiz +354 - 49
Aihen MuñozThu 3:00 PMDNP9%Books -120-45.1%MatchWiz +962 - 50
Andrei RaduThu 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 51
Álex RemiroThu 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 52
Vicente GuaitaThu 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).