La Liga 1+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
Kylian MbappéFri 3:00 PM✓ 7100%Books no lineMatchWiz -9900 - 2
Vinícius JúniorFri 3:00 PM✓ 498%Books -7000-1.0%MatchWiz -4014 - 3
AntonyFri 3:00 PM✓ 495%Books -2000+0.1%MatchWiz -2030 - 4
Jude BellinghamFri 3:00 PM✓ 394%Books -2500-2.1%MatchWiz -1568 - 5
RodrygoFri 3:00 PMDNP90%Books no lineMatchWiz -935 - 6
Abde EzzalzouliFri 3:00 PMDNP89%Books -1500-4.3%MatchWiz -845 - 7
Aitor RuibalFri 3:00 PMDNP87%Books no lineMatchWiz -652 - 8
Arda GülerFri 3:00 PM✓ 287%Books -1000-4.4%MatchWiz -642 - 9
Federico ValverdeFri 3:00 PM✓ 186%Books -425+4.9%MatchWiz -607 - 10
Cucho HernándezFri 3:00 PM✓ 184%Books no lineMatchWiz -517 - 11Lucas VázquezFri 3:00 PMDNP81%Books no lineMatchWiz -415
- 12
Aurélien TchouaméniFri 3:00 PMDNP80%Books -550-4.3%MatchWiz -409 - 13Luka ModricFri 3:00 PMDNP78%Books no lineMatchWiz -358
- 14
Pablo FornalsFri 3:00 PM✗ 074%Books -330-2.7%MatchWiz -285 - 15Franco MastantuonoFri 3:00 PMDNP72%Books no lineMatchWiz -252
- 16
EndrickFri 3:00 PMDNP71%Books -10000-27.9%MatchWiz -246 - 17
Bernardo SilvaFri 3:00 PM✗ 069%Books -310-6.1%MatchWiz -228 - 18
Dani CarvajalFri 3:00 PMDNP69%Books no lineMatchWiz -221 - 19
Dean HuijsenFri 3:00 PM✓ 269%Books -160+7.2%MatchWiz -220 - 20
Marc RocaFri 3:00 PM✗ 069%Books -165+6.4%MatchWiz -219 - 21Romain PerraudFri 3:00 PMDNP68%Books no lineMatchWiz -215
- 22
Nelson DeossaFri 3:00 PM✓ 266%Books -600-19.4%MatchWiz -197 - 23
Sofyan AmrabatFri 3:00 PMDNP66%Books no lineMatchWiz -196 - 24
Rodrigo RiquelmeFri 3:00 PM✗ 065%Books -600-21.1%MatchWiz -183 - 25
Éder MilitãoFri 3:00 PMDNP62%Books no lineMatchWiz -161 - 26
Facundo BernalFri 3:00 PM✗ 061%Books -360-17.2%MatchWiz -157 - 27
Antonio RüdigerFri 3:00 PMDNP59%Books -135+1.9%MatchWiz -146 - 28
Raúl AsencioFri 3:00 PMDNP59%Books no lineMatchWiz -142 - 29
Yan DiomandeFri 3:00 PM✗ 058%Books -2000-37.4%MatchWiz -137 - 30
Dani CeballosFri 3:00 PMDNP58%Books no lineMatchWiz -135 - 31Jesús RodriguezFri 3:00 PMDNP54%Books no lineMatchWiz -119
- 32
Trent Alexander-ArnoldFri 3:00 PM✗ 053%Books -400-26.7%MatchWiz -114 - 33Ricardo RodríguezFri 3:00 PMDNP52%Books no lineMatchWiz -109
- 34
IscoFri 3:00 PM✓ 151%Books -800-37.9%MatchWiz -104 - 35
Marc BartraFri 3:00 PM✓ 148%Books -120-6.8%MatchWiz +109 - 36
Álvaro CarrerasFri 3:00 PM✗ 047%Books -135-10.2%MatchWiz +111 - 37
Fran GarcíaFri 3:00 PM✗ 045%Books +190+10.1%MatchWiz +124 - 38
NatanFri 3:00 PM✗ 039%Books +190+4.1%MatchWiz +159 - 39
Giovani Lo CelsoFri 3:00 PMDNP39%Books no lineMatchWiz +160 - 40
Valentín GómezFri 3:00 PMDNP36%Books +135-7.0%MatchWiz +182 - 41
Ángel OrtizFri 3:00 PMDNP35%Books +120-10.0%MatchWiz +182 - 42Pablo GarcíaFri 3:00 PMDNP35%Books no lineMatchWiz +184
- 43
Héctor BellerínFri 3:00 PM✗ 029%Books +135-13.9%MatchWiz +249 - 44
Youssouf SabalyFri 3:00 PMDNP28%Books no lineMatchWiz +257 - 45
Junior FirpoFri 3:00 PMDNP27%Books -190-38.5%MatchWiz +271 - 46
Vitor RoqueFri 3:00 PMDNP26%Books no lineMatchWiz +283 - 47
Marc CucurellaFri 3:00 PM✗ 026%Books -135-31.6%MatchWiz +286 - 48
Diego LlorenteFri 3:00 PM✗ 026%Books +190-8.9%MatchWiz +290 - 49
Eduardo CamavingaFri 3:00 PM✗ 025%Books -250-46.5%MatchWiz +300 - 50
William CarvalhoFri 3:00 PMDNP24%Books no lineMatchWiz +310 - 51Sergi AltimiraFri 3:00 PMDNP22%Books no lineMatchWiz +347
- 52
AdriánFri 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 53
Thibaut CourtoisFri 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 54
Pau LópezFri 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 55
Andriy LuninFri 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 56
Álvaro VallesFri 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).