Ligue 1 Match Board — Friday, September 18, 2026

Every Ligue 1 match on Friday, September 18, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 29 of 33 on ML, 27 of 33 on Over 2.5, 29 of 33 on BTTS.

Friday, September 18

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

2:45 PM ET

Proj1.6–1.5

Match page →

AS MonacoHOME40%1.6proj+151fair+141mkt-1.6%

Draw26%—proj+283fair+289mkt+0.4%

LensAWAY34%1.5proj+194fair+207mkt+1.4%

O2.5 59%BTTS 63%

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).