MatchWiz
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Ligue 1 Match Board — Saturday, October 10, 2026

Every Ligue 1 match on Saturday, October 10, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML2-7−4.6u
Over 2.56-3+0.7u
BTTS2-7−6.3u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 8 of 9 on ML, 7 of 9 on Over 2.5, 8 of 9 on BTTS.

Saturday, October 10

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
2:00 PM ET
MONAS MonacovsTOUToulouse

Stade Louis II · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
BREBrestvsANGAngers

Stade Francis-Le Blé · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
RCLLensvsLYONLyon

Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
LILLLillevsHACLe Havre AC

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
LORLorientvsPARParis FC

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
NICENicevsSTRStrasbourg

Allianz Riviera · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
PSGParis Saint-GermainvsMNSLe Mans

Parc des Princes · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
RENStade RennaisvsAUXAJ Auxerre

Roazhon Park · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
TRYTroyesvsOLMMarseille

Stade de l'Aube · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).