Serie A Match Board — Saturday, March 8, 2025

Every Serie A match on Saturday, March 8, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML7-4+0.4u

Over 2.58-3+2.5u

BTTS10-1+7.6u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 10 of 11 matches.

Saturday, March 8

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

FT · 1–1

Comovs

Venezia

Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

Parmavs

Torino

Ennio Tardini · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3

Leccevs

AC Milan

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2

Internazionalevs MON

Monza

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).