MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A Match Board — Sunday, November 30, 2025

Every Serie A match on Sunday, November 30, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML6-4−0.1u
Over 2.57-3+1.4u
BTTS9-1+6.6u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 9 of 10 matches.

Sunday, November 30

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
LECLeccevsTORTorino

Via Del Mare · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 2–0
ATAAtalantavsFIOFiorentina

New Balance Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 0–1
ROMAAS RomavsNAPNapoli

Olimpico · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).