MatchWiz

Serie A Match BoardSunday, May 17, 2026

Every Serie A match on Sunday, May 17, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 27 of 31 matches.

Sunday, May 17

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 2–0
Match page →
ROMAAS RomavsLAZLazio

Olimpico · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 1–0
Match page →
COMOComovsPARParma

Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 1–2
Match page →
GENGenoavsMILAC Milan

Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 0–2
Match page →
JUVJuventusvsFIOFiorentina

Allianz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 0–3
Match page →
PISPisavsNAPNapoli

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 1–1
Match page →
INTInternazionalevsVERHellas Verona

San Siro · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 0–1
Match page →
ATAAtalantavsBOLBologna

New Balance Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 2–1
Match page →
CAGCagliarivsTORTorino

Unipol Domus · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 2–3
Match page →
SASSassuolovsLECLecce

Mapei Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+
FT · 0–1
Match page →
UDIUdinesevsCRECremonese

Stadio Friuli · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).