Serie A Match Board — Saturday, October 17, 2026

Every Serie A match on Saturday, October 17, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML5-3+0.1u

Over 2.56-2+1.8u

BTTS7-1+4.7u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 7 of 8 matches.

Saturday, October 17

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

2:00 PM ET

AC Milanvs ATA

Atalanta

San Siro · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

AS Romavs

Genoa

Olimpico · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

Bolognavs

Internazionale

Renato Dall'Ara · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

Fiorentinavs COMO

Como

Stadio Artemio Franchi · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

Frosinonevs SAS

Sassuolo

Stadio Benito Stirpe · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

Juventusvs LAZ

Lazio

Allianz Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

Monzavs

Cagliari

U-Power Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

Parmavs

Torino

Ennio Tardini · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

Udinesevs

Lecce

Stadio Friuli · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET

Veneziavs

Napoli

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).