MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1FIO
    Moise Kean
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    95%
    Books -3000
    -2.2%MatchWiz -1740
    ✓
  2. 2BOL
    Riccardo Orsolini
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    89%
    Books -5000
    -8.8%MatchWiz -825
    0
  3. 3ROMA
    Eldor Shomurodov
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    87%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -690
  4. 4FIO
    Albert Gudmundsson
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    85%
    Books -700
    -2.5%MatchWiz -565
    0
  5. 5
    Santiago Castro
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    84%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -510
  6. 6LAZ
    Matteo Cancellieri
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    83%
    Books -1000
    -8.3%MatchWiz -477
    ✓
  7. 7LAZ
    Boulaye Dia
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    83%
    Books -550
    -2.1%MatchWiz -473
    0
  8. 8ROMA
    Matìas Soulè
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    82%
    Books -7000
    -16.7%MatchWiz -453
    ✓
  9. 9ROMA
    Paulo Dybala
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    82%
    Books -7000
    -17.0%MatchWiz -443
    ✓
  10. 10LAZ
    Gustav Isaksen
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    81%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -418
    ✓
  11. 11ROMA
    Lorenzo Pellegrini
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -386
  12. 12LAZ
    Valentín Castellanos
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    79%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -385
  13. 13FIO
    Rolando Mandragora
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    79%
    Books -650
    -7.5%MatchWiz -379
    0
  14. 14BOL
    Jens Odgaard
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    78%
    Books -2000
    -17.3%MatchWiz -353
    ✓
  15. 15BOL
    Jon Rowe
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    78%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -346
    ✓
  16. 16BOL
    Nicolò Cambiaghi
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    77%
    Books -1100
    -14.9%MatchWiz -330
    ✓
  17. 17LAZ
    Mattia Zaccagni
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    74%
    Books -425
    -7.2%MatchWiz -280
    ✓
  18. 18
    Dan Ndoye
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -278
  19. 19BOL
    Tommaso Pobega
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    73%
    Books -550
    -11.9%MatchWiz -267
    0
  20. 20
    Angeliño
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -241
  21. 21ROMA
    Manu Koné
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    70%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -236
    0
  22. 22ROMA
    Bryan Cristante
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    70%
    Books -500
    -13.2%MatchWiz -235
    0
  23. 23ROMA
    Leandro Paredes
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -228
  24. 24
    Toma Basic
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -219
  25. 25
    Tommaso Baldanzi
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -210
  26. 26
    Giovanni Fabbian
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -182
  27. 27
    Thijs Dallinga
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -181
  28. 28BOL
    Martin Erlic
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    63%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -172
  29. 29FIO
    Nicolò Fagioli
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    63%
    Books -220
    -6.2%MatchWiz -167
    0
  30. 30LAZ
    Danilo Cataldi
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -166
  31. 31
    Amir Richardson
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    61%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -157
  32. 32ROMA
    Wesley
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    61%
    Books -475
    -21.8%MatchWiz -155
    0
  33. 33BOL
    Charalampos Lykogiannis
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -150
  34. 34
    Evan Ferguson
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -148
  35. 35BOL
    Nikola Moro
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    60%
    Books -310
    -16.1%MatchWiz -147
    0
  36. 36BOL
    Lewis Ferguson
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    58%
    Books -260
    -14.0%MatchWiz -139
    ✓
  37. 37FIO
    Lucas Beltrán
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    58%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -137
  38. 38
    Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -124
  39. 39BOL
    Nadir Zortea
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    55%
    Books -185
    -9.8%MatchWiz -123
    ✓
  40. 40LAZ
    Nicolò Rovella
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    55%
    Books -155
    -5.8%MatchWiz -122
    ✓
  41. 41
    Zeki Çelik
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -120
  42. 42ROMA
    Evan Ndicka
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    54%
    Books -230
    -15.8%MatchWiz -117
    ✓
  43. 43ROMA
    Stephan El Shaarawy
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    53%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -112
  44. 44
    Roberto Piccoli
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -109
  45. 45ROMA
    Mario Hermoso
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    52%
    Books -340
    -25.6%MatchWiz -107
    0
  46. 46
    Robin Gosens
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -106
  47. 47
    Simon Sohm
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -101
  48. 48LAZ
    Matteo Guendouzi
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    50%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +101
  49. 49ROMA
    Gianluca Mancini
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    50%
    Books -175
    -13.8%MatchWiz +101
    0
  50. 50LAZ
    Adam Marusic
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    50%
    Books -130
    -6.8%MatchWiz +101
    0
  51. 51FIO
    Dodô
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    49%
    Books -120
    -5.3%MatchWiz +103
    ✓
  52. 52BOL
    Juan Miranda
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    49%
    Books -165
    -13.3%MatchWiz +104
    0
  53. 53
    Kostas Tsimikas
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +104
  54. 54BOL
    Martin Vitík
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    48%
    Books -140
    -10.0%MatchWiz +107
    0
  55. 55
    Matías Vecino
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    48%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +108
  56. 56BOL
    Emil Holm
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    46%
    Books -230
    -23.4%MatchWiz +116
    ✓
  57. 57
    Pietro Comuzzo
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +116
  58. 58
    Michel Aebischer
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +118
  59. 59
    Leon Bailey
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +119
  60. 60ROMA
    Victor Nelsson
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    45%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +120
  61. 61FIO
    Cher Ndour
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    44%
    Books -250
    -27.5%MatchWiz +128
    ✓
  62. 62LAZ
    Reda Belahyane
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    43%
    Books -135
    -14.0%MatchWiz +130
    0
  63. 63LAZ
    Samuel Gigot
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +133
  64. 64LAZ
    Luca Pellegrini
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    43%
    Books +120
    -2.5%MatchWiz +133
  65. 65
    Jhon Lucumí
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +133
  66. 66BOL
    Torbjørn Heggem
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    43%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +134
    0
  67. 67
    Mario Gila
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    42%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +136
  68. 68LAZ
    Manuel Lazzari
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    42%
    Books +125
    -2.1%MatchWiz +136
    0
  69. 69LAZ
    Alessio Romagnoli
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    41%
    Books +140
    -0.3%MatchWiz +142
    0
  70. 70LAZ
    Tijjani Noslin
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    41%
    Books -800
    -47.8%MatchWiz +143
    0
  71. 71FIO
    Fabiano Parisi
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +146
  72. 72FIO
    Luca Ranieri
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    40%
    Books +160
    +2.0%MatchWiz +147
    0
  73. 73
    Benjamín Domínguez
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    40%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +152
  74. 74FIO
    Marin Pongracic
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    39%
    Books +210
    +6.8%MatchWiz +156
    0
  75. 75
    Artem Dovbyk
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +157
  76. 76ROMA
    Mats Hummels
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +178
  77. 77BOL
    Remo Freuler
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +181
  78. 78ROMA
    Neil El Aynaoui
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    35%
    Books -750
    -52.8%MatchWiz +182
    0
  79. 79
    Matías Moreno
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    34%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +197
  80. 80BOL
    Nicolo Casale
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    34%
    Books +105
    -15.2%MatchWiz +198
  81. 81
    Pablo Marí
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +205
  82. 82
    Lucas Gourna-Douath
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +207
  83. 83
    Loum Tchaouna
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +214
  84. 84LAZ
    Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books -185
    -33.1%MatchWiz +214
    0
  85. 85LAZ
    Nuno Tavares
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    32%
    Books -155
    -29.1%MatchWiz +216
    0
  86. 86
    Jacopo Fazzini
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    31%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +223
  87. 87FIO
    Mattia Viti
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +242
  88. 88ROMA
    Devyne Rensch
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    26%
    Books -300
    -49.1%MatchWiz +286
  89. 89
    Sulemana
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    25%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +299
  90. 90ROMA
    Niccolò Pisilli
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books -1000
    -67.4%MatchWiz +326
    ✓
  91. 91ROMA
    Jan Ziólkowski
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +331
    0
  92. 92
    Eddy Kouadio
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    23%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +338
  93. 93
    Davide Calabria
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    22%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +355
  94. 94
    Andrea Colpani
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +387
  95. 95
    Niccolò Fortini
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    20%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +392
  96. 96
    Edin Dzeko
    —v—
    Mon 2:45 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +427
  97. 97LAZ
    Elseid Hysaj
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    13%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +645
  98. 98ROMA
    Daniele Ghilardi
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    12%
    Books -165
    -49.9%MatchWiz +709
    0
  99. 99BOL
    Lorenzo De Silvestri
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    11%
    Books -195
    -54.8%MatchWiz +787
    0
  100. 100LAZ
    Christos Mandas
    LAZ1–0BOL
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  101. 101BOL
    Federico Ravaglia
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  102. 102BOL
    Lukasz Skorupski
    BOL0–1LAZ
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  103. 103ROMA
    Mile Svilar
    ROMA4–0FIO
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0
  104. 104
    Ivan Provedel
    —v—
    Mon 12:30 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
  105. 105FIO
    David de Gea
    FIO0–4ROMA
    Mon 2:45 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).