MLS Team Props
Every game's team markets from our xG goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Team markets are priced by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no US book hangs them). Grading against the box score is coming to this board. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Wednesday, August 19
TOR v CLT
FT · 3–3
Goal count · Over 2.551%-103fair-143mkt-8.1%
1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+190fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half21%+371fair—mkt—
TOR to score in both halves25%+302fair—mkt—
CLT to score in both halves23%+338fair—mkt—
CLB v MTL
FT · 1–2
Goal count · Over 2.556%-130fair-146mkt-2.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.538%+161fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half23%+337fair—mkt—
CLB to score in both halves34%+191fair—mkt—
MTL to score in both halves19%+422fair—mkt—
ORL v CHI
FT · 1–2
Goal count · Over 2.570%-236fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.549%+105fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half32%+217fair—mkt—
ORL to score in both halves35%+186fair—mkt—
CHI to score in both halves35%+185fair—mkt—
PHI v MIA
FT · 2–2
Goal count · Over 2.574%-286fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.552%-108fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half34%+195fair—mkt—
PHI to score in both halves41%+147fair—mkt—
MIA to score in both halves35%+186fair—mkt—
CIN v NYC
FT · 2–1
Goal count · Over 2.567%-201fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.546%+118fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half29%+242fair—mkt—
CIN to score in both halves37%+173fair—mkt—
NYC to score in both halves29%+244fair—mkt—
RBNY v NSH
FT · 0–1
Goal count · Over 2.565%-184fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.544%+125fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half28%+253fair—mkt—
RBNY to score in both halves31%+220fair—mkt—
NSH to score in both halves32%+213fair—mkt—
DC v NE
FT · 0–3
Goal count · Over 2.559%-145fair-137mkt+1.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+148fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half25%+299fair—mkt—
DC to score in both halves32%+214fair—mkt—
NE to score in both halves25%+304fair—mkt—
SKC v STL
FT · 1–1
Goal count · Over 2.560%-149fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+146fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half24%+308fair—mkt—
SKC to score in both halves21%+386fair—mkt—
STL to score in both halves37%+174fair—mkt—
MIN v ATL
FT · 1–2
Goal count · Over 2.559%-145fair-149mkt-0.7%
1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+149fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half24%+318fair—mkt—
MIN to score in both halves37%+171fair—mkt—
ATL to score in both halves20%+412fair—mkt—
SEA v ATX
FT · 1–2
Goal count · Over 2.562%-165fair-132mkt+5.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+136fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half25%+307fair—mkt—
SEA to score in both halves42%+141fair—mkt—
ATX to score in both halves18%+450fair—mkt—
COL v LAFC
FT · 1–0
Goal count · Over 2.554%-119fair-128mkt-1.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+171fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half23%+338fair—mkt—
COL to score in both halves27%+270fair—mkt—
LAFC to score in both halves24%+311fair—mkt—
RSL v DAL
FT · 3–4
Goal count · Over 2.558%-139fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+153fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half25%+305fair—mkt—
RSL to score in both halves29%+242fair—mkt—
DAL to score in both halves26%+281fair—mkt—
POR v SD
FT · 3–1
Goal count · Over 2.565%-186fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.545%+124fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half28%+255fair—mkt—
POR to score in both halves36%+180fair—mkt—
SD to score in both halves28%+262fair—mkt—
VAN v HOU
FT · 0–1
Goal count · Over 2.554%-117fair-134mkt-3.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+175fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half20%+411fair—mkt—
VAN to score in both halves38%+161fair—mkt—
HOU to score in both halves13%+691fair—mkt—
LA v SJ
FT · 1–0
Goal count · Over 2.572%-256fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.550%-100fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half32%+208fair—mkt—
LA to score in both halves39%+158fair—mkt—
SJ to score in both halves34%+197fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered (goal count and 1st-half totals; the two 1st-half/both-halves markets are model-only). Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).