Champions League Match Board — Thursday, September 18, 2025

Every Champions League match on Thursday, September 18, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Thursday, September 18

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

FT · 4–1

Club Bruggevs MON

AS Monaco

Jan Breydel Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–2

F.C. Københavnvs B04

Bayer Leverkusen

Parken Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

CBSSN · Paramount+

FT · 5–1

Eintracht Frankfurtvs GAL

Galatasaray

Deutsche Bank Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

CBSSN · Paramount+

FT · 2–0

Manchester Cityvs NAP

Napoli

Etihad Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 1–2

Newcastle Unitedvs BAR

Barcelona

St. James' Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 4–1

Sporting CPvs KAI

Kairat Almaty

Estádio José Alvalade · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).