Champions League Match Board — Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Every Champions League match on Tuesday, September 30, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Tuesday, September 30

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

FT · 2–1

Atalantavs BRU

Club Brugge

New Balance Arena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–5

Kairat Almatyvs RMA

Real Madrid

Almaty Ortalyk Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 5–1

Atlético Madridvs SGE

Eintracht Frankfurt

Riyadh Air Metropolitano · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–2

Bodo/Glimtvs TOT

Tottenham Hotspur

Aspmyra Stadion · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 1–0

Chelseavs

Benfica

Stamford Bridge · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 1–0

Galatasarayvs LIV

Liverpool

RAMS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 3–0

Internazionalevs SLP

Slavia Prague

San Siro · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 4–0

Marseillevs AJA

Ajax Amsterdam

Stade Vélodrome · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 1–5

Pafosvs

Bayern Munich

Alphamega Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).