Champions League Match Board — Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Every Champions League match on Tuesday, October 21, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Tuesday, October 21

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

FT · 6–1

Barcelonavs OLY

Olympiacos

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–0

Kairat Almatyvs PAF

Pafos

Almaty Ortalyk Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 4–0

Arsenalvs

Atlético Madrid

Emirates Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–7

Bayer Leverkusenvs PSG

Paris Saint-Germain

BayArena · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 2–4

F.C. Københavnvs DOR

Borussia Dortmund

Parken Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 3–0

Newcastle Unitedvs SLB

Benfica

St. James' Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

CBSSN · Paramount+

FT · 6–2

PSV Eindhovenvs NAP

Napoli

Philips Stadion · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–4

Union St.-Gilloisevs INT

Internazionale

Lotto Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

FT · 0–2

Villarrealvs MNC

Manchester City

Estadio de la Cerámica · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).