Champions League Match Board — Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Every Champions League match on Wednesday, May 6, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Wednesday, May 6, 2026 · how the model graded

2025-26 · last season · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. No pre-kick prices on these, so it's hit rate only.

Wednesday, May 6

MatchupProbProjFairMkt

FT · 1–1

Proj2.9–2.2

Match page →

Bayern MunichHOME✗54%2.9proj-116fair—mkt

Draw18%—proj+454fair—mkt

Paris Saint-GermainAWAY28%2.2proj+253fair—mkt

O2.5 88% ✗BTTS 84% ✓

CBS · Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).