Champions League Match Board — Thursday, September 10, 2026
Every Champions League match on Thursday, September 10, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
2025-26 · last season · all graded matches
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. No pre-kick prices on these, so it's hit rate only.
Thursday, September 10
MatchupProbProjFairMkt
FenerbahceHOME47%2.0proj+112fair+246mktDraw24%—proj+323fair+272mkt
AS RomaAWAY29%1.5proj+244fair+126mktO2.5 68% · mkt 54%BTTS 68% · mkt 57%
CBSSN · Paramount+
PSV EindhovenHOME52%2.2proj-107fair-199mktDraw22%—proj+352fair+425mkt
Shakhtar DonetskAWAY26%1.5proj+281fair+584mktO2.5 72%BTTS 71% · mkt 57%
Paramount+
Bayern MunichHOME70%3.1proj-239fair-666mktDraw15%—proj+549fair+1109mkt
Bodo/GlimtAWAY14%1.4proj+609fair+1794mktO2.5 84%BTTS 74% · mkt 57%
Paramount+
ComoHOME47%2.0proj+112fair-104mktDraw24%—proj+323fair+307mkt
RB LeipzigAWAY29%1.5proj+244fair+312mktO2.5 68%BTTS 68% · mkt 61%
CBSSN · Paramount+
Manchester UnitedHOME47%2.0proj+112fair-582mktDraw24%—proj+323fair+855mkt
Sabah FKAWAY29%1.5proj+244fair+2298mktO2.5 68%BTTS 68% · mkt 51%
Paramount+
Slavia PragueHOME37%1.7proj+168fair+168mktDraw25%—proj+307fair+259mkt
LensAWAY38%1.7proj+163fair+185mktO2.5 66% · mkt 53%BTTS 68% · mkt 58%
Paramount+
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).