Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Monday, August 3, 2026
Top doubles spot: Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros (COL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Ian Seymour. The righty is driving the ball at .087 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .077 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 6% of his trips. And Ian Seymour has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .097 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Ian Seymour. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (100) vs RHP Brandon Pfaadt: a solid bat at .045 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.095).
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (99) vs LHP Ian Seymour: an elite bat at .064 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.097).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (98) vs RHP Shane Bieber: an elite bat at .065 into an arm prone to extra-base damage from the same side (.050).
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (94) vs RHP Cal Quantrill: an excellent bat at .061 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Keibert Ruiz (WSH) (93) vs RHP Aaron Nola: an elite bat at .064 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.094).
- Brice Turang (MIL) (92) vs RHP Bubba Chandler: a strong bat at .050 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.083), hot bat.
- James Wood (WSH) (87) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a strong bat at .052 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.094), due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Kyle Karros (COL) — righty bat vs LHP, .087 against lefties this year.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) — righty bat vs LHP, .079 against lefties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .060 against righties this year.
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .067 against righties this year.
- Keibert Ruiz (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .086 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Brice Turang (MIL), Alec Burleson (STL), Jeremy Peña (HOU), Jordan Walker (STL), Luis Campusano (SD), and Andy Pages (LAD). Cold but due to bounce back: James Wood (WSH), Ben Rice (NYY), Manny Machado (SD), Garrett Mitchell (MIL), and Nathan Lukes (TOR).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Kyle Karros finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.