Who has the best triples matchup today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?

Kyle Schwarber (NL) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Dylan Cease. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB triples matchups today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?

The top triples matchups on Tuesday, July 14, 2026: Kyle Schwarber (100), Mike Trout (100), Juan Soto (88), Yordan Alvarez (88), Freddie Freeman (77). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by triples upside.

Did the top triples matchup get a triple on Tuesday, July 14, 2026?

No — Kyle Schwarber didn't record a triple.

How is the triples matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does 3B/PA mean?

Triples per plate appearance — how often a hitter reaches third on his own hit. The league rate is about .004, or one every 250 trips, which makes the triple the rarest hit in baseball. Speed and ballpark do most of the work here, so treat this board as a projection of a rare event rather than a reliable edge.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a triple.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a triple.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a triple in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for triples props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ triple" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a triple a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB triples matchups — Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Every hitter on the Tuesday, July 14, 2026 slate — ranked by triples upside. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on 1+ triple.

Top 5

2/540%

graded

Top 10

3/1030%

graded

Full slate

5/1828%

graded

Top call Juan Soto came through. Kyle Schwarber didn't.

Final · 4–0

ALaway

NLhomeTop matchup100

PosSort

#Hitter · MatchupScore

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.361

Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-13

Hits3 in 16 PA

Career Average.188

Plate Appearances16

HR · K · BB2 · 4 · 3

Projection

Projected Triples0.02

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Schwarber's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs RHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Hits0 in 3 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Triples0.02

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mike Trout's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.398

Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-11

Hits2 in 12 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 1

Projection

Projected Triples0.019

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Juan Soto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.354

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.247

Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Triples0.019

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yordan Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.367

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-19

Hits6 in 20 PA

Career Average.300

Plate Appearances20

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Triples0.019

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Freddie Freeman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs RHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.373

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Hits2 in 4 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Triples0.019

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Shea Langeliers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-9

Hits0 in 10 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances10

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Triples0.018

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CJ Abrams's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs RHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.365

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Hits1 in 6 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Triples0.018

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Junior Caminero's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-12

Hits2 in 15 PA

Career Average.133

Plate Appearances15

HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 3

Projection

Projected Triples0.018

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Max Muncy's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs RHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.345

Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Hits1 in 6 PA

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Triples0.018

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-12

Hits3 in 13 PA

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances13

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Triples0.017

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ozzie Albies's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.247

Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Hits2 in 6 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Triples0.017

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cody Bellinger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Hits3 in 11 PA

Career Average.273

Plate Appearances11

HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Triples0.017

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brandon Marsh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.247

Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Triples0.017

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ben Rice's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs RHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.280

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-10

Hits1 in 12 PA

Career Average.083

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Triples0.016

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andy Pages's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.247

Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Hits0 in 6 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Triples0.016

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Riley Greene's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Triples / PA vs RHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs LHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

W–L7–5

ERA2.46

WHIP1.08

IP113.1

H / K / BB75 / 167 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Hits0 in 5 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Triples0.016

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

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Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Triples / PA vs LHP.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · triples vs RHB0.40%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up triples to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L13–4

ERA2.73

WHIP1.20

IP138.2

H / K / BB139 / 157 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · Triples allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.004

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330

Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-12

Hits4 in 12 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances12

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Triples0.016

A rough estimate of triples to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

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Best MLB Triples Matchups — Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Kyle Schwarber (NL) is the top triples matchup on the Tuesday, July 14, 2026 board at 100, with Mike Trout (AL) and Juan Soto (NL) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by triples upside — the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top triples spot: Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber (NL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Dylan Cease. The lefty is running the bases at — 3B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a triple in about 0% of his trips. And Dylan Cease has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .188 in 16 career PA against Dylan Cease, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Mike Trout (AL) (100) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Juan Soto (NL) (88) vs RHP Dylan Cease: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Yordan Alvarez (AL) (88) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Freddie Freeman (NL) (77) vs RHP Dylan Cease: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Shea Langeliers (AL) (77) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
CJ Abrams (NL) (65) vs RHP Dylan Cease: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
Junior Caminero (AL) (65) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.

How it played out

3 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Kyle Schwarber finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these triples matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best triples matchup today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?: Kyle Schwarber (NL) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Dylan Cease. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB triples matchups today (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)?: The top triples matchups on Tuesday, July 14, 2026: Kyle Schwarber (100), Mike Trout (100), Juan Soto (88), Yordan Alvarez (88), Freddie Freeman (77). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by triples upside.
Did the top triples matchup get a triple on Tuesday, July 14, 2026?: No — Kyle Schwarber didn't record a triple.
How is the triples matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does 3B/PA mean?: Triples per plate appearance — how often a hitter reaches third on his own hit. The league rate is about .004, or one every 250 trips, which makes the triple the rarest hit in baseball. Speed and ballpark do most of the work here, so treat this board as a projection of a rare event rather than a reliable edge.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a triple.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a triple.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a triple in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for triples props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ triple" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a triple a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.