Best MLB Triples Matchups — Thursday, July 16, 2026
Top triples spot: A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing (NYM) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Aaron Nola. The lefty is running the bases at — 3B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a triple in about 0% of his trips. And Aaron Nola has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Aaron Nola too — .667 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Trea Turner (PHI) (100) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Juan Soto (NYM) (88) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (88) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Bo Bichette (NYM) (77) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Bryce Harper (PHI) (77) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Francisco Lindor (NYM) (65) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Brandon Marsh (PHI) (65) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
How it played out
6 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play A.J. Ewing finished with 1 triple. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.