La Liga Match Board — Friday, September 18, 2026

Every La Liga match on Friday, September 18, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 33 of 42 on Over 2.5.

Friday, September 18

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

3:00 PM ET

Proj1.7–1.1

Match page →

EspanyolHOME51%1.7proj-104fair+115mktModel lean+4.6%

Draw26%—proj+280fair+256mkt-1.8%

ElcheAWAY23%1.1proj+342fair+293mkt-2.8%

O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).