MatchWiz

La Liga Match BoardSaturday, September 19, 2026

Every La Liga match on Saturday, September 19, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 33 of 42 on Over 2.5.

Saturday, September 19

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
8:00 AM ET
Proj1.51.1
Match page →
OSAOsasunaHOME44%1.5proj+129fairmkt
Draw28%proj+252fairmkt
RAYRayo VallecanoAWAY28%1.1proj+258fairmkt
O2.5 48%BTTS 53%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
10:15 AM ET
Proj1.61.3
Match page →
ATHAthletic ClubHOME43%1.6proj+132fairmkt
Draw27%proj+268fairmkt
ALAAlavésAWAY30%1.3proj+237fairmkt
O2.5 54%BTTS 58%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
12:30 PM ET
Proj1.81.2
Match page →
CELCelta VigoHOME52%1.8proj-108fairmkt
Draw25%proj+301fairmkt
RACRacing SantanderAWAY23%1.2proj+330fairmkt
O2.5 58%BTTS 59%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
3:00 PM ET
Proj1.12.2
Match page →
SEVSevillaHOME17%1.1proj+505fairmkt
Draw22%proj+362fairmkt
BARBarcelonaAWAY62%2.2proj-162fairmkt
O2.5 63%BTTS 59%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).