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La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    88%
    Books -1000
    -3.3%MatchWiz -710
    ✗ 0
  2. 2Atlético Madrid
    Julián Álvarez
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    85%
    Books -7000
    -13.5%MatchWiz -573
    DNP
  3. 3
    Nahuel Molina
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    73%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -264
    DNP
  4. 4Atlético Madrid
    Rodrigo De Paul
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -259
    DNP
  5. 5Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    71%
    Books -475
    -11.9%MatchWiz -242
    ✗ 0
  6. 6Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    71%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -239
    ✓ 1
  7. 7
    Nico González
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    68%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -214
    DNP
  8. 8Atlético Madrid
    Marcos Llorente
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books -425
    -15.8%MatchWiz -187
    ✗ 0
  9. 9Atlético Madrid
    Koke
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    60%
    Books -155
    -1.1%MatchWiz -148
    ✗ 0
  10. 10Atlético Madrid
    Alexander Sørloth
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -148
    DNP
  11. 11Atlético Madrid
    Johnny Cardoso
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    56%
    Books -230
    -13.5%MatchWiz -128
    DNP
  12. 12Atlético Madrid
    Antoine Griezmann
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    56%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -126
    DNP
  13. 13Atlético Madrid
    Samuel Lino
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    54%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -116
    DNP
  14. 14Atlético Madrid
    José María Giménez
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books -150
    -10.5%MatchWiz +102
    DNP
  15. 15Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    47%
    Books -230
    -22.3%MatchWiz +111
    ✓ 3
  16. 16Atlético Madrid
    Marc Pubill
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    43%
    Books -300
    -31.6%MatchWiz +131
    DNP
  17. 17Atlético Madrid
    Robin Le Normand
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    42%
    Books -130
    -14.7%MatchWiz +139
    ✗ 0
  18. 18Atlético Madrid
    Thiago Almada
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +146
    DNP
  19. 19
    Matteo Ruggeri
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +146
    DNP
  20. 20
    Conor Gallagher
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +163
    DNP
  21. 21Atlético Madrid
    Clément Lenglet
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    33%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +206
    DNP
  22. 22Atlético Madrid
    Ángel Correa
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    29%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +239
    DNP
  23. 23
    Thomas Lemar
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    28%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +258
    DNP
  24. 24
    Reinildo Mandava
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    27%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +264
    DNP
  25. 25
    Giacomo Raspadori
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    26%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +280
    DNP
  26. 26Atlético Madrid
    Jan Oblak
    Atlético Madrid2–0Málaga
    Wed 3:00 PM
    0%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +9900
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).