MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day
Tutorials WizBoard

La Liga 1+ Shots Board

Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
  1. 1Real Madrid
    Kylian Mbappé
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    99%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -9900
    ✓ 8
  2. 2Real Madrid
    Vinícius Júnior
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    93%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -1428
    ✓ 4
  3. 3Real Madrid
    Jude Bellingham
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    86%
    Books -2500
    -10.0%MatchWiz -622
    ✓ 1
  4. 4Real Sociedad
    Mikel Oyarzabal
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    86%
    Books -1500
    -7.8%MatchWiz -609
    ✓ 1
  5. 5Real Madrid
    Rodrygo
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    83%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -473
    DNP
  6. 6Real Madrid
    Federico Valverde
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    80%
    Books -1500
    -13.9%MatchWiz -396
    ✓ 2
  7. 7Real Sociedad
    Takefusa Kubo
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    78%
    Books -475
    -4.3%MatchWiz -361
    ✗ 0
  8. 8Real Sociedad
    Gonçalo Guedes
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    75%
    Books -900
    -14.8%MatchWiz -303
    ✓ 1
  9. 9
    Lucas Vázquez
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    74%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -288
    DNP
  10. 10Real Sociedad
    Sergio Gómez
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    73%
    Books -220
    +4.4%MatchWiz -273
    ✓ 2
  11. 11Real Madrid
    Arda Güler
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    72%
    Books -2000
    -22.8%MatchWiz -263
    ✓ 2
  12. 12Real Madrid
    Aurélien Tchouaméni
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    72%
    Books -800
    -17.0%MatchWiz -256
    DNP
  13. 13
    Luka Modric
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    72%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -253
    DNP
  14. 14Real Sociedad
    Brais Méndez
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    69%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -219
    DNP
  15. 15
    Martín Zubimendi
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -196
    DNP
  16. 16
    Nayef Aguerd
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    66%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -193
    DNP
  17. 17
    Franco Mastantuono
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    65%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -183
    DNP
  18. 18
    Duje Caleta-Car
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    64%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -180
    DNP
  19. 19Real Madrid
    Dani Carvajal
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    62%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -163
    DNP
  20. 20Real Sociedad
    Carlos Soler
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    61%
    Books -380
    -18.0%MatchWiz -157
    ✗ 0
  21. 21Real Madrid
    Endrick
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    60%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -152
    DNP
  22. 22Real Sociedad
    Jon Gorrotxategi
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    59%
    Books +120
    +13.4%MatchWiz -143
    DNP
  23. 23Real Madrid
    Dean Huijsen
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    57%
    Books -210
    -10.9%MatchWiz -132
    ✓ 2
  24. 24
    Dani Ceballos
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    55%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -123
    DNP
  25. 25Real Madrid
    Éder Militão
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -110
    DNP
  26. 26Real Sociedad
    Orri Óskarsson
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books -1100
    -39.4%MatchWiz -110
    ✓ 1
  27. 27
    Hamari Traoré
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    52%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz -108
    DNP
  28. 28
    Umar Sadiq
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +102
    DNP
  29. 29Real Madrid
    Raúl Asencio
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    49%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +104
    DNP
  30. 30Real Sociedad
    Ander Barrenetxea
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    48%
    Books -550
    -36.8%MatchWiz +109
    ✗ 0
  31. 31Real Sociedad
    Yangel Herrera
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +118
    ✗ 0
  32. 32Real Madrid
    Antonio Rüdiger
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    46%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +120
    DNP
  33. 33Real Madrid
    Álvaro Carreras
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    41%
    Books -175
    -22.9%MatchWiz +145
    ✗ 0
  34. 34
    Fran García
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    39%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +155
    DNP
  35. 35Real Madrid
    Eduardo Camavinga
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    38%
    Books -340
    -39.0%MatchWiz +161
    ✗ 0
  36. 36Real Sociedad
    Jon Aramburu
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    38%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +165
    ✓ 1
  37. 37Real Madrid
    Trent Alexander-Arnold
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    36%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +178
    DNP
  38. 38Real Sociedad
    Jon Martín
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    35%
    Books -130
    -21.6%MatchWiz +186
    ✗ 0
  39. 39Real Sociedad
    Luka Sucic
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    33%
    Books -550
    -51.7%MatchWiz +203
    ✓ 2
  40. 40Real Sociedad
    Igor Zubeldia
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    26%
    Books +190
    -8.0%MatchWiz +278
    ✗ 0
  41. 41Real Sociedad
    Arsen Zakharyan
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    21%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +380
    DNP
  42. 42Real Sociedad
    Beñat Turrientes
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    20%
    Books -250
    -51.3%MatchWiz +397
    ✓ 1
  43. 43Real Sociedad
    Aritz Elustondo
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +428
    DNP
  44. 44
    Javi López
    —v—
    Wed 3:00 PM
    19%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +438
    DNP
  45. 45Real Sociedad
    Aihen Muñoz
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    8%
    Books +135
    -35.0%MatchWiz +1224
    DNP
  46. 46Real Madrid
    Andriy Lunin
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    3%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +3270
    DNP
  47. 47Real Madrid
    Thibaut Courtois
    Real Madrid4–1Real Sociedad
    Wed 3:00 PM
    2%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +5826
    ✗ 0
  48. 48Real Sociedad
    Álex Remiro
    Real Sociedad1–4Real Madrid
    Wed 3:00 PM
    1%
    Books no line
    MatchWiz +7836
    ✗ 0

MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).