La Liga 1+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 1+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
AntonyTue 3:00 PM✓ 494%Books no lineMatchWiz -1712 - 2
Cucho HernándezTue 3:00 PM✗ 092%Books no lineMatchWiz -1090 - 3
Abde EzzalzouliTue 3:00 PMDNP91%Books no lineMatchWiz -1047 - 4
Aitor RuibalTue 3:00 PMDNP88%Books no lineMatchWiz -727 - 5
Pablo FornalsTue 3:00 PM✓ 377%Books -360-1.2%MatchWiz -335 - 6
Arnaut DanjumaTue 3:00 PM✓ 275%Books no lineMatchWiz -302 - 7Romain PerraudTue 3:00 PMDNP74%Books no lineMatchWiz -281
- 8
Hugo DuroTue 3:00 PM✗ 073%Books -2000-22.2%MatchWiz -271 - 9
Marc RocaTue 3:00 PMDNP72%Books -175+8.0%MatchWiz -252 - 10
Diego LópezTue 3:00 PMDNP67%Books no lineMatchWiz -202 - 11Enzo BarrenecheaTue 3:00 PMDNP61%Books no lineMatchWiz -157
- 12
Luis RiojaTue 3:00 PM✓ 260%Books -750-28.1%MatchWiz -151 - 13Jesús RodriguezTue 3:00 PMDNP60%Books no lineMatchWiz -149
- 14Yarek GasiorowskiTue 3:00 PMDNP60%Books no lineMatchWiz -148
- 15
Nelson DeossaTue 3:00 PM✓ 459%Books -650-27.6%MatchWiz -144 - 16Cristhian MosqueraTue 3:00 PMDNP59%Books no lineMatchWiz -141
- 17Giorgi MamardashviliTue 3:00 PMDNP58%Books no lineMatchWiz -139
- 18
IscoTue 3:00 PM✓ 157%Books no lineMatchWiz -130 - 19
PepeluTue 3:00 PM✗ 056%Books -310-19.5%MatchWiz -128 - 20Thierry CorreiaTue 3:00 PMDNP56%Books no lineMatchWiz -128
- 21
André AlmeidaTue 3:00 PMDNP54%Books -340-23.0%MatchWiz -119 - 22
Sofyan AmrabatTue 3:00 PMDNP49%Books no lineMatchWiz +106 - 23
Javier GuerraTue 3:00 PM✗ 046%Books -400-33.8%MatchWiz +116 - 24
Marc BartraTue 3:00 PMDNP42%Books -130-15.0%MatchWiz +141 - 25
Giovani Lo CelsoTue 3:00 PMDNP41%Books no lineMatchWiz +141 - 26
Valentín GómezTue 3:00 PM✗ 041%Books +120-4.3%MatchWiz +143 - 27
NatanTue 3:00 PMDNP37%Books +125-7.5%MatchWiz +171 - 28
Lucas BeltránTue 3:00 PMDNP37%Books no lineMatchWiz +171 - 29
Pablo GarcíaTue 3:00 PM✓ 135%Books -1100-57.0%MatchWiz +188 - 30
Junior FirpoTue 3:00 PM✗ 035%Books -200-32.0%MatchWiz +189 - 31
Dimitri FoulquierTue 3:00 PMDNP34%Books +140-7.9%MatchWiz +196 - 32
Mouctar DiakhabyTue 3:00 PM✓ 233%Books -115-20.0%MatchWiz +199 - 33
Héctor BellerínTue 3:00 PM✗ 033%Books +120-12.3%MatchWiz +201 - 34Eray CömertTue 3:00 PMDNP31%Books no lineMatchWiz +221
- 35
CopeteTue 3:00 PMDNP31%Books no lineMatchWiz +223 - 36
Youssouf SabalyTue 3:00 PMDNP31%Books no lineMatchWiz +227 - 37
Filip UgrinicTue 3:00 PM✓ 130%Books -800-59.3%MatchWiz +237 - 38Max AaronsTue 3:00 PMDNP28%Books no lineMatchWiz +255
- 39Sergi AltimiraTue 3:00 PMDNP28%Books no lineMatchWiz +255
- 40
Vitor RoqueTue 3:00 PMDNP27%Books no lineMatchWiz +276 - 41
César TárregaTue 3:00 PM✓ 226%Books -110-26.4%MatchWiz +285 - 42
José GayàTue 3:00 PMDNP26%Books -135-31.6%MatchWiz +286 - 43
Iván JaimeTue 3:00 PMDNP25%Books no lineMatchWiz +302 - 44
William CarvalhoTue 3:00 PMDNP25%Books no lineMatchWiz +302 - 45Ricardo RodríguezTue 3:00 PMDNP24%Books no lineMatchWiz +309
- 46
Diego LlorenteTue 3:00 PM✗ 024%Books -105-27.5%MatchWiz +321 - 47
Largie RamazaniTue 3:00 PMDNP23%Books no lineMatchWiz +335 - 48
Jesús VázquezTue 3:00 PM✓ 213%Books -290-61.5%MatchWiz +679 - 49
Ángel OrtizTue 3:00 PM✓ 19%Books +115-37.3%MatchWiz +983 - 50
AdriánTue 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 51
Pau LópezTue 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 52
Álvaro VallesTue 3:00 PM✗ 00%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900 - 53Julen AgirrezabalaTue 3:00 PMDNP0%Books no lineMatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).