La Liga 2+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 2+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
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Pablo FornalsTue 3:00 PM43%Books +125-1.1%MatchWiz +131 - 2
Hugo DuroTue 3:00 PM38%Books -380-41.2%MatchWiz +163 - 3
Marc RocaTue 3:00 PM36%Books +290+10.2%MatchWiz +179 - 4
Luis RiojaTue 3:00 PM24%Books -175-40.0%MatchWiz +322 - 5
Nelson DeossaTue 3:00 PM22%Books -155-38.3%MatchWiz +345 - 6
PepeluTue 3:00 PM20%Books +140-21.8%MatchWiz +403 - 7
André AlmeidaTue 3:00 PM18%Books +130-25.1%MatchWiz +444 - 8
Marc BartraTue 3:00 PM11%Books +430-8.3%MatchWiz +841 - 9
Valentín GómezTue 3:00 PM11%Books +750-1.2%MatchWiz +851 - 10
NatanTue 3:00 PM8%Books +800-2.8%MatchWiz +1108 - 11
Junior FirpoTue 3:00 PM7%Books +230-23.0%MatchWiz +1272 - 12
Pablo GarcíaTue 3:00 PM7%Books -230-62.7%MatchWiz +1334 - 13
Dimitri FoulquierTue 3:00 PM7%Books +850-3.7%MatchWiz +1361 - 14
Mouctar DiakhabyTue 3:00 PM7%Books +480-10.5%MatchWiz +1392 - 15
Héctor BellerínTue 3:00 PM7%Books +800-4.4%MatchWiz +1397 - 16
Javier GuerraTue 3:00 PM6%Books +110-41.4%MatchWiz +1509 - 17
Filip UgrinicTue 3:00 PM5%Books -175-58.8%MatchWiz +1946 - 18
César TárregaTue 3:00 PM4%Books +500-12.8%MatchWiz +2456 - 19
José GayàTue 3:00 PM4%Books +400-16.1%MatchWiz +2487 - 20
Diego LlorenteTue 3:00 PM3%Books +550-12.1%MatchWiz +2938 - 21
Jesús VázquezTue 3:00 PM1%Books +160-37.5%MatchWiz +9900 - 22
Ángel OrtizTue 3:00 PM0%Books +650-12.8%MatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).