La Liga 3+ Shots Board
Every player on the slate ranked by our 3+ shots number — over the line the books hang — volume shooters vs soft defenses rise here. Boards freeze at kickoff and grade against the box score.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga props are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model with no track record — nothing here is a pick. Research, not betting advice — 21+.
- 1
Pablo FornalsTue 3:00 PM18%Books +420-0.8%MatchWiz +442 - 2
Hugo DuroTue 3:00 PM15%Books -130-41.8%MatchWiz +580 - 3Marc RocaTue 3:00 PM13%Books +1100+5.0%MatchWiz +649
- 4Luis RiojaTue 3:00 PM7%Books +180-29.0%MatchWiz +1391
- 5Nelson DeossaTue 3:00 PM6%Books +210-26.1%MatchWiz +1521
- 6PepeluTue 3:00 PM5%Books +500-11.6%MatchWiz +1878
- 7André AlmeidaTue 3:00 PM4%Books +440-14.1%MatchWiz +2148
- 8Marc BartraTue 3:00 PM2%Books +1800-3.4%MatchWiz +5274
- 9Junior FirpoTue 3:00 PM1%Books +850-9.5%MatchWiz +9601
- 10Pablo GarcíaTue 3:00 PM1%Books +130-42.5%MatchWiz +9900
- 11Mouctar DiakhabyTue 3:00 PM1%Books +2200-3.5%MatchWiz +9900
- 12Javier GuerraTue 3:00 PM1%Books +360-20.9%MatchWiz +9900
- 13Filip UgrinicTue 3:00 PM1%Books +175-35.8%MatchWiz +9900
- 14José GayàTue 3:00 PM0%Books +1700-5.2%MatchWiz +9900
- 15César TárregaTue 3:00 PM0%Books +2200-4.0%MatchWiz +9900
- 16Jesús VázquezTue 3:00 PM0%Books +550-15.3%MatchWiz +9900
MatchWiz = the odds our probability implies (per-game rates × projected minutes × matchup). Books = the best available price across the books we track. Lines move — always confirm at the book. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).