MLS Match Board — Saturday, May 6, 2023
Every MLS match on Saturday, May 6, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, May 6
Charlotte FCvs
New York City FCBank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Cincinnativs
D.C. UnitedTQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
CF Montréalvs
Orlando City SCStade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Red Bull New Yorkvs
Philadelphia UnionSports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Toronto FCvs
New England RevolutionBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
LAFCLevi's Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Inter Miami CFvs
Atlanta United FCChase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Houston Dynamo FCvs
Real Salt LakeShell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Nashville SCvs
Chicago Fire FCGEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Portland Timbersvs
Austin FCProvidence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
Minnesota United FCBC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LA Galaxyvs
Colorado RapidsDignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).