MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardWednesday, May 17, 2023

Every MLS match on Wednesday, May 17, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Wednesday, May 17

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Match page →
CLTCharlotte FCvsCHIChicago Fire FC

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–0
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsCOLColorado Rapids

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
CLBColumbus CrewvsLALA Galaxy

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0
Match page →
CINFC CincinnativsMTLCF Montréal

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsNYCNew York City FC

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
TORToronto FCvsRBNYRed Bull New York

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionvsDCD.C. United

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsHOUHouston Dynamo FC

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsVANVancouver Whitecaps

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
NSHNashville SCvsMIAInter Miami CF

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakevsPORPortland Timbers

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
LAFCLAFCvsSKCSporting Kansas City

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsATXAustin FC

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).