MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, May 27, 2023

Every MLS match on Saturday, May 27, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Saturday, May 27

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 3–3
Match page →
NENew England RevolutionvsCHIChicago Fire FC

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–3
Match page →
NYCNew York City FCvsPHIPhiladelphia Union

Citi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
TORToronto FCvsDCD.C. United

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
MTLCF MontréalvsMIAInter Miami CF

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsATLAtlanta United FC

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsATXAustin FC

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1
Match page →
STLSt. Louis CITY SCvsVANVancouver Whitecaps

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsRSLReal Salt Lake

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
COLColorado RapidsvsCINFC Cincinnati

Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
LALA GalaxyvsCLTCharlotte FC

Dignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
SJSan Jose EarthquakesvsDALFC Dallas

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsRBNYRed Bull New York

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).