MatchWiz

MLS Match Board — Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Every MLS match on Tuesday, July 4, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 435 of 437 on ML, 252 of 437 on Over 2.5, 197 of 437 on BTTS.

Tuesday, July 4

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 2–2
Match page →
MIAInter Miami CFvsCLBColumbus Crew

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–0
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsTORToronto FC

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsDCD.C. United

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
LALA GalaxyvsLAFCLAFC

Rose Bowl · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).