MLS Match Board — Wednesday, July 12, 2023
Every MLS match on Wednesday, July 12, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Wednesday, July 12
New England Revolutionvs
Atlanta United FCGillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Red Bull New Yorkvs
FC CincinnatiSports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Houston Dynamo FCvs
Minnesota United FCShell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Real Salt LakeChildren's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Nashville SCvs
Philadelphia UnionGEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Colorado Rapidsvs
Portland TimbersDick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Chicago Fire FCvs
CF MontréalSoldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LAFCvs
St. Louis CITY SCBMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Seattle Sounders FCPayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
Austin FCBC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).