MLS Match Board — Saturday, September 16, 2023
Every MLS match on Saturday, September 16, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, September 16
New York City FCvs
Red Bull New YorkYankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Atlanta United FCvs
Inter Miami CFMercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
CF Montréalvs
Chicago Fire FCStade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Orlando City SCvs
Columbus CrewInter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Toronto FCvs
Vancouver WhitecapsBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Philadelphia Unionvs
FC CincinnatiSubaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Charlotte FCvs
D.C. UnitedBank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Houston Dynamo FCvs
St. Louis CITY SCShell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Minnesota United FCvs
Sporting Kansas CityAllianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Dallasvs
Seattle Sounders FCToyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Colorado Rapidsvs
New England RevolutionDick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LAFCvs
LA GalaxyBMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Real Salt LakePayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).