MatchWiz
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MLS Match Board — Saturday, September 23, 2023

Every MLS match on Saturday, September 23, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Saturday, September 23

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 3–5
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedvsRBNYRed Bull New York

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–1
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsMTLCF Montréal

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionvsLAFCLAFC

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0
Match page →
CINFC CincinnativsCLTCharlotte FC

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsCLBColumbus Crew

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
SKCSporting Kansas CityvsHOUHouston Dynamo FC

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
CHIChicago Fire FCvsNENew England Revolution

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsSTLSt. Louis CITY SC

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakevsVANVancouver Whitecaps

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
PORPortland TimbersvsCOLColorado Rapids

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
SJSan Jose EarthquakesvsNSHNashville SC

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).