MLS Match Board — Saturday, September 30, 2023
Every MLS match on Saturday, September 30, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, September 30
Inter Miami CFvs
New York City FCChase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New England Revolutionvs
Charlotte FCGillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Orlando City SCvs
CF MontréalInter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Toronto FCvs
FC CincinnatiBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
Philadelphia UnionScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Red Bull New Yorkvs
Chicago Fire FCSports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
St. Louis CITY SCvs
Sporting Kansas CityEnergizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Nashville SCvs
Seattle Sounders FCGEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Minnesota United FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesAllianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Houston Dynamo FCvs
FC DallasShell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Colorado Rapidsvs
Austin FCDick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
D.C. UnitedBC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LA Galaxyvs
Portland TimbersDignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).