MLS Match Board — Saturday, October 21, 2023
Every MLS match on Saturday, October 21, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, October 21
New York City FCvs
Chicago Fire FCCiti Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Nashville SCvs
Red Bull New YorkGEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New England Revolutionvs
Philadelphia UnionGillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
CF MontréalScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Charlotte FCvs
Inter Miami CFBank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Cincinnativs
Atlanta United FCTQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Toronto FCvs
Orlando City SCBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Minnesota United FCChildren's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Colorado Rapidsvs
Real Salt LakeDick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
St. Louis CITY SCvs
Seattle Sounders FCEnergizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Portland Timbersvs
Houston Dynamo FCProvidence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LA Galaxyvs
FC DallasDignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
LAFCBC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Austin FCPayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).