MLS Match Board — Sunday, November 12, 2023
Every MLS match on Sunday, November 12, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Sunday, November 12
Philadelphia Unionvs
New England RevolutionModel line lands closer to kickoff.
Orlando City SCvs
Nashville SCModel line lands closer to kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
Atlanta United FCScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).