MLS Match Board — Saturday, March 9, 2024
Every MLS match on Saturday, March 9, 2024 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, March 9
Toronto FCvs
Charlotte FCBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New York City FCvs
Portland TimbersYankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Atlanta United FCvs
New England RevolutionMercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
Chicago Fire FCScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Orlando City SCvs
Minnesota United FCInter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Red Bull New Yorkvs
FC DallasSports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Austin FCvs
St. Louis CITY SCQ2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Real Salt Lakevs
Colorado RapidsAmerica First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LAFCvs
Sporting Kansas CityBMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Vancouver WhitecapsPayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).