MLS Match Board — Saturday, May 11, 2024
Every MLS match on Saturday, May 11, 2024 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, May 11
Atlanta United FCvs
D.C. UnitedMercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Toronto FCvs
New York City FCBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Charlotte FCvs
Nashville SCBank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Red Bull New Yorkvs
New England RevolutionSports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
CF Montréalvs
Inter Miami CFStade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Philadelphia Unionvs
Orlando City SCSubaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
FC CincinnatiScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
St. Louis CITY SCvs
Chicago Fire FCEnergizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Houston Dynamo FCChildren's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Dallasvs
Austin FCToyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Colorado Rapidsvs
San Jose EarthquakesDick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LA Galaxyvs
Real Salt LakeDignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LAFCvs
Vancouver WhitecapsBMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).