MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardWednesday, July 17, 2024

Every MLS match on Wednesday, July 17, 2024 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Wednesday, July 17

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 0–1
Match page →
CINFC CincinnativsCHIChicago Fire FC

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkvsMTLCF Montréal

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
CLBColumbus CrewvsCLTCharlotte FC

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsNYCNew York City FC

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 5–1
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionvsNENew England Revolution

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1
Match page →
MIAInter Miami CFvsTORToronto FC

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–3
Match page →
NSHNashville SCvsORLOrlando City SC

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsATXAustin FC

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsDCD.C. United

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
LALA GalaxyvsCOLColorado Rapids

Dignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsSTLSt. Louis CITY SC

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
SJSan Jose EarthquakesvsHOUHouston Dynamo FC

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
VANVancouver WhitecapsvsSKCSporting Kansas City

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
LAFCLAFCvsRSLReal Salt Lake

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).