MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardWednesday, September 18, 2024

Every MLS match on Wednesday, September 18, 2024 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Wednesday, September 18

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsMIAInter Miami CF

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
NENew England RevolutionvsMTLCF Montréal

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–2
Match page →
TORToronto FCvsCLBColumbus Crew

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–5
Match page →
NYCNew York City FCvsPHIPhiladelphia Union

Yankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsCLTCharlotte FC

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsVANVancouver Whitecaps

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
NSHNashville SCvsCHIChicago Fire FC

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–1
Match page →
SKCSporting Kansas CityvsCOLColorado Rapids

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsCINFC Cincinnati

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakevsDALFC Dallas

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–2
Match page →
PORPortland TimbersvsLALA Galaxy

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsSJSan Jose Earthquakes

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
LAFCLAFCvsATXAustin FC

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).