MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, February 22, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, February 22, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Saturday, February 22

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–0
Match page →
LAFCLAFCvsMINMinnesota United FC

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsMTLCF Montréal

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–2
Match page →
CLBColumbus CrewvsCHIChicago Fire FC

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedvsTORToronto FC

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
CINFC CincinnativsRBNYRed Bull New York

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
MIAInter Miami CFvsNYCNew York City FC

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–4
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsPHIPhiladelphia Union

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
ATXAustin FCvsSKCSporting Kansas City

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsDALFC Dallas

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
NSHNashville SCvsNENew England Revolution

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
STLSt. Louis CITY SCvsCOLColorado Rapids

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–0
Match page →
SJSan Jose EarthquakesvsRSLReal Salt Lake

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsCLTCharlotte FC

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).